从COVID-19中更好地复苏需要重新思考多边主义。

Richard Kozul-Wright
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引用次数: 10

摘要

世界经济正在经历深度衰退,疫情仍未得到控制。但是,如果发达经济体像全球金融危机后那样,采取紧缩、自由化和量化宽松的政策组合,那么改善复苏的承诺就不会实现。这样的做法只会使一系列已经存在的状况恶化,尤其是高度不平等、过度债务(包括公共和私人债务)以及投资疲软——这将导致失去的十年,尤其是对发展中国家而言。相反,我们需要的是一项促进全球复苏的扩张性计划,该计划能够让最脆弱的国家也恢复到比危机前更强大的地位。本文阐述了该计划的一些关键要素,并认为如果要实现更具弹性的复苏,实现可持续和包容性的未来,该计划的实施将需要对多边贸易和金融体系进行系统性改革。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Recovering Better from COVID-19 Will Need a Rethink of Multilateralism.

The world economy is experiencing a deep recession amid a still unchecked pandemic. But the commitment to recovering better will not materialize if, as happened after the global financial crisis, the advanced economies resort to a policy mix of austerity, liberalization and quantitative easing. Such an approach will only worsen a whole set of pre-existing conditions and in particular, high inequality, excessive debt (both public and private and weak investment-that will lead to a lost decade, particularly for developing countries. What is needed instead is an expansionary plan for global recovery, that can credibly return even the most vulnerable countries to a stronger position than before the crisis. This paper sets out some of the key elements of such a plan and argues that its implementation will require systematic reforms to the multilateral trade and financial system if a more resilient recovery is to turn into a sustainable and inclusive future.

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