看似不相关的回归与测量误差:估计通过马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗和平均场变分贝叶斯近似。

IF 1.2 4区 数学 Q4 MATHEMATICAL & COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY
Georges Bresson, Anoop Chaturvedi, Mohammad Arshad Rahman, Shalabh
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引用次数: 4

摘要

协变量中含有测量误差的线性回归是一个被大量研究的课题,然而,统计/计量经济学文献几乎没有对含有测量误差的多方程模型进行估计。本文考虑了一种协变量存在测量误差的看似不相关的回归模型,并介绍了两种新的估计方法:基于马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗技术的纯贝叶斯算法及其平均场变分贝叶斯(MFVB)近似。MFVB方法的额外优势是计算速度快,可以处理大数据。与测量误差模型相关的一个问题是参数识别,这是通过对测量误差方差采用先验分布来解决的。这些方法在多个模拟研究中表现良好,在这些研究中,我们分析了数据生成过程中使用的真实未观测量的不同信度比或方差值对后验估计的影响。本文进一步在卫生文献的应用中实现了所提出的算法,并表明对数据中的测量误差进行建模可以改善模型拟合。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Seemingly unrelated regression with measurement error: estimation via Markov Chain Monte Carlo and mean field variational Bayes approximation.

Linear regression with measurement error in the covariates is a heavily studied topic, however, the statistics/econometrics literature is almost silent to estimating a multi-equation model with measurement error. This paper considers a seemingly unrelated regression model with measurement error in the covariates and introduces two novel estimation methods: a pure Bayesian algorithm (based on Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques) and its mean field variational Bayes (MFVB) approximation. The MFVB method has the added advantage of being computationally fast and can handle big data. An issue pertinent to measurement error models is parameter identification, and this is resolved by employing a prior distribution on the measurement error variance. The methods are shown to perform well in multiple simulation studies, where we analyze the impact on posterior estimates for different values of reliability ratio or variance of the true unobserved quantity used in the data generating process. The paper further implements the proposed algorithms in an application drawn from the health literature and shows that modeling measurement error in the data can improve model fitting.

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来源期刊
International Journal of Biostatistics
International Journal of Biostatistics MATHEMATICAL & COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY-STATISTICS & PROBABILITY
CiteScore
2.10
自引率
8.30%
发文量
28
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: The International Journal of Biostatistics (IJB) seeks to publish new biostatistical models and methods, new statistical theory, as well as original applications of statistical methods, for important practical problems arising from the biological, medical, public health, and agricultural sciences with an emphasis on semiparametric methods. Given many alternatives to publish exist within biostatistics, IJB offers a place to publish for research in biostatistics focusing on modern methods, often based on machine-learning and other data-adaptive methodologies, as well as providing a unique reading experience that compels the author to be explicit about the statistical inference problem addressed by the paper. IJB is intended that the journal cover the entire range of biostatistics, from theoretical advances to relevant and sensible translations of a practical problem into a statistical framework. Electronic publication also allows for data and software code to be appended, and opens the door for reproducible research allowing readers to easily replicate analyses described in a paper. Both original research and review articles will be warmly received, as will articles applying sound statistical methods to practical problems.
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