T Shirai, M Ishizawa, R Zhuravlev, A Ganshin, D Belikov, M Saito, T Oda, V Valsala, A J Gomez-Pelaez, R Langenfelds, S Maksyutov
{"title":"使用全球欧拉-拉格朗日耦合大气模式(GELCA)的CO2年代际反演:对地面观测网的敏感性。","authors":"T Shirai, M Ishizawa, R Zhuravlev, A Ganshin, D Belikov, M Saito, T Oda, V Valsala, A J Gomez-Pelaez, R Langenfelds, S Maksyutov","doi":"10.1080/16000889.2017.1291158","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>We present an assimilation system for atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO<sub>2</sub>) using a Global Eulerian-Lagrangian Coupled Atmospheric model (GELCA), and demonstrate its capability to capture the observed atmospheric CO<sub>2</sub> mixing ratios and to estimate CO<sub>2</sub> fluxes. With the efficient data handling scheme in GELCA, our system assimilates non-smoothed CO<sub>2</sub> data from observational data products such as the Observation Package (ObsPack) data products as constraints on surface fluxes. We conducted sensitivity tests to examine the impact of the site selections and the prior uncertainty settings of observation on the inversion results. For these sensitivity tests, we made five different site/data selections from the ObsPack product. In all cases, the time series of the global net CO<sub>2</sub> flux to the atmosphere stayed close to values calculated from the growth rate of the observed global mean atmospheric CO<sub>2</sub> mixing ratio. At regional scales, estimated seasonal CO<sub>2</sub> fluxes were altered, depending on the CO<sub>2</sub> data selected for assimilation. Uncertainty reductions (URs) were determined at the regional scale and compared among cases. As measures of the model-data mismatch, we used the model-data bias, root-mean-square error, and the linear correlation. For most observation sites, the model-data mismatch was reasonably small. Regarding regional flux estimates, tropical Asia was one of the regions that showed a significant impact from the observation network settings. We found that the surface fluxes in tropical Asia were the most sensitive to the use of aircraft measurements over the Pacific, and the seasonal cycle agreed better with the results of bottom-up studies when the aircraft measurements were assimilated. These results confirm the importance of these aircraft observations, especially for constraining surface fluxes in the tropics.</p>","PeriodicalId":54432,"journal":{"name":"Tellus Series B-Chemical and Physical Meteorology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.3000,"publicationDate":"2017-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1080/16000889.2017.1291158","citationCount":"10","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"A decadal inversion of CO<sub>2</sub> using the Global Eulerian-Lagrangian Coupled Atmospheric model (GELCA): sensitivity to the ground-based observation network.\",\"authors\":\"T Shirai, M Ishizawa, R Zhuravlev, A Ganshin, D Belikov, M Saito, T Oda, V Valsala, A J Gomez-Pelaez, R Langenfelds, S Maksyutov\",\"doi\":\"10.1080/16000889.2017.1291158\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><p>We present an assimilation system for atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO<sub>2</sub>) using a Global Eulerian-Lagrangian Coupled Atmospheric model (GELCA), and demonstrate its capability to capture the observed atmospheric CO<sub>2</sub> mixing ratios and to estimate CO<sub>2</sub> fluxes. With the efficient data handling scheme in GELCA, our system assimilates non-smoothed CO<sub>2</sub> data from observational data products such as the Observation Package (ObsPack) data products as constraints on surface fluxes. We conducted sensitivity tests to examine the impact of the site selections and the prior uncertainty settings of observation on the inversion results. For these sensitivity tests, we made five different site/data selections from the ObsPack product. In all cases, the time series of the global net CO<sub>2</sub> flux to the atmosphere stayed close to values calculated from the growth rate of the observed global mean atmospheric CO<sub>2</sub> mixing ratio. At regional scales, estimated seasonal CO<sub>2</sub> fluxes were altered, depending on the CO<sub>2</sub> data selected for assimilation. Uncertainty reductions (URs) were determined at the regional scale and compared among cases. As measures of the model-data mismatch, we used the model-data bias, root-mean-square error, and the linear correlation. For most observation sites, the model-data mismatch was reasonably small. Regarding regional flux estimates, tropical Asia was one of the regions that showed a significant impact from the observation network settings. We found that the surface fluxes in tropical Asia were the most sensitive to the use of aircraft measurements over the Pacific, and the seasonal cycle agreed better with the results of bottom-up studies when the aircraft measurements were assimilated. 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A decadal inversion of CO2 using the Global Eulerian-Lagrangian Coupled Atmospheric model (GELCA): sensitivity to the ground-based observation network.
We present an assimilation system for atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) using a Global Eulerian-Lagrangian Coupled Atmospheric model (GELCA), and demonstrate its capability to capture the observed atmospheric CO2 mixing ratios and to estimate CO2 fluxes. With the efficient data handling scheme in GELCA, our system assimilates non-smoothed CO2 data from observational data products such as the Observation Package (ObsPack) data products as constraints on surface fluxes. We conducted sensitivity tests to examine the impact of the site selections and the prior uncertainty settings of observation on the inversion results. For these sensitivity tests, we made five different site/data selections from the ObsPack product. In all cases, the time series of the global net CO2 flux to the atmosphere stayed close to values calculated from the growth rate of the observed global mean atmospheric CO2 mixing ratio. At regional scales, estimated seasonal CO2 fluxes were altered, depending on the CO2 data selected for assimilation. Uncertainty reductions (URs) were determined at the regional scale and compared among cases. As measures of the model-data mismatch, we used the model-data bias, root-mean-square error, and the linear correlation. For most observation sites, the model-data mismatch was reasonably small. Regarding regional flux estimates, tropical Asia was one of the regions that showed a significant impact from the observation network settings. We found that the surface fluxes in tropical Asia were the most sensitive to the use of aircraft measurements over the Pacific, and the seasonal cycle agreed better with the results of bottom-up studies when the aircraft measurements were assimilated. These results confirm the importance of these aircraft observations, especially for constraining surface fluxes in the tropics.
期刊介绍:
Tellus B: Chemical and Physical Meteorology along with its sister journal Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, are the international, peer-reviewed journals of the International Meteorological Institute in Stockholm, an independent non-for-profit body integrated into the Department of Meteorology at the Faculty of Sciences of Stockholm University, Sweden. Aiming to promote the exchange of knowledge about meteorology from across a range of scientific sub-disciplines, the two journals serve an international community of researchers, policy makers, managers, media and the general public.