新西兰和Covid-19的经验教训:前瞻性政策制定的必要性。

The Political Quarterly Pub Date : 2020-07-01 Epub Date: 2020-08-12 DOI:10.1111/1467-923X.12893
Sonia Mazey, Jeremy Richardson
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引用次数: 51

摘要

新冠肺炎大流行使全球大多数政府不得不独立思考,而不是实施详细和精心策划的计划。尽管事实是,大流行迟早会发生(而且还会再次发生)。各国应对措施的有效性差别很大。在全球范围内,新西兰被认为是“曲线粉碎”的黄金标准,并在短时间内实现了无冠状态。这一成就在很大程度上要归功于新西兰政府,尤其是总理杰辛达·阿德恩。然而,在封锁后,新西兰政府遇到了许多新冠肺炎政策实施问题(其中许多问题本可以预料到)。尽管如此,2019冠状病毒病仍可能对现有的政策程序和政策框架(如紧缩政策)造成巨大冲击。如果是这样,我们就有理由相信,在未来,政府和选民的前景可能不会那么短视。或许预见性而非被动的政策制定会变得更加流行?
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Lesson-Drawing from New Zealand and Covid-19: The Need for Anticipatory Policy Making.

The Covid-19 pandemic has seen most governments worldwide having to think on their feet rather than implementing detailed and well-rehearsed plans. This is notwithstanding the fact that a pandemic was bound to happen, sooner or later (and will happen again). The effectiveness of national responses has varied enormously. Globally, New Zealand has been perceived as setting the gold standard in 'curve crushing', and for a short period achieved Covid-free status. For this achievement, much credit is due to the New Zealand government, especially to Prime Minister, Jacinda Ardern. However, post-lockdown the New Zealand government has encountered a number of Covid policy implementation problems (many of which could have been anticipated). Nevertheless, Covid-19 might still turn out to have been a seismic shock to existing policy processes and policy frames (such as austerity). If so, there are grounds for hope that in the future, governments and voters might be less short-term in their outlook. Perhaps anticipatory, rather than reactive policy making, might become more fashionable?

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