Samuel E Jackson, Ian Vernon, Junli Liu, Keith Lindsey
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Understanding hormonal crosstalk in Arabidopsis root development via emulation and history matching.
A major challenge in plant developmental biology is to understand how plant growth is coordinated by interacting hormones and genes. To meet this challenge, it is important to not only use experimental data, but also formulate a mathematical model. For the mathematical model to best describe the true biological system, it is necessary to understand the parameter space of the model, along with the links between the model, the parameter space and experimental observations. We develop sequential history matching methodology, using Bayesian emulation, to gain substantial insight into biological model parameter spaces. This is achieved by finding sets of acceptable parameters in accordance with successive sets of physical observations. These methods are then applied to a complex hormonal crosstalk model for Arabidopsis root growth. In this application, we demonstrate how an initial set of 22 observed trends reduce the volume of the set of acceptable inputs to a proportion of 6.1 × 10-7 of the original space. Additional sets of biologically relevant experimental data, each of size 5, reduce the size of this space by a further three and two orders of magnitude respectively. Hence, we provide insight into the constraints placed upon the model structure by, and the biological consequences of, measuring subsets of observations.
期刊介绍:
Statistical Applications in Genetics and Molecular Biology seeks to publish significant research on the application of statistical ideas to problems arising from computational biology. The focus of the papers should be on the relevant statistical issues but should contain a succinct description of the relevant biological problem being considered. The range of topics is wide and will include topics such as linkage mapping, association studies, gene finding and sequence alignment, protein structure prediction, design and analysis of microarray data, molecular evolution and phylogenetic trees, DNA topology, and data base search strategies. Both original research and review articles will be warmly received.