基于旅行阻塞邻近最优控制方法的多区域离散时间流行病模型。

IF 4.1 3区 数学 Q1 Mathematics
Advances in Difference Equations Pub Date : 2017-01-01 Epub Date: 2017-04-26 DOI:10.1186/s13662-017-1168-4
Omar Zakary, Mostafa Rachik, Ilias Elmouki, Samih Lazaiz
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引用次数: 12

摘要

在本文中,我们研究了流行病在许多地区出现时的感染动力学,这些地区通过任何一种人类学运动与邻近地区联系在一起。为此,我们设计了一个具有三个经典SIR隔间的多区域离散时间模型,描述了同质易感、感染和移除种群的时空行为。我们假设一个大的地理区域,用彩色网格表示,在每一个瞬间显示流行病的空间传播,它影响到它的不同部分或子区域,我们在这里称之为细胞或区域。为了最大限度地减少某些区域的感染个体数量,我们提出了一种基于旅行阻塞邻近策略的最优控制方法,该策略旨在通过限制来自邻近细胞的感染者的移动来控制一组细胞或一个斑块。我们应用离散版本的庞特里亚金极大值原理来陈述旅行阻塞最优控制的必要条件和特征。我们提供了基于离散渐进回归迭代方案的细胞模拟,并与得到的多点边值问题相关联。为了说明建模和最优控制方法,我们考虑了一个100个区域的例子。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

A multi-regions discrete-time epidemic model with a travel-blocking vicinity optimal control approach on patches.

A multi-regions discrete-time epidemic model with a travel-blocking vicinity optimal control approach on patches.

A multi-regions discrete-time epidemic model with a travel-blocking vicinity optimal control approach on patches.

A multi-regions discrete-time epidemic model with a travel-blocking vicinity optimal control approach on patches.

We study, in this paper, infection dynamics when an epidemic emerges to many regions which are connected with their neighbors by any kind of anthropological movement. For this, we devise a multi-regions discrete-time model with the three classical SIR compartments, describing the spatial-temporal behaviors of homogenous susceptible, infected and removed populations. We suppose a large geographical domain, presented by a grid of colored cells, to exhibit at each instant i the spatial propagation of an epidemic which affects its different parts or sub-domains that we call here cells or regions. In order to minimize the number of infected individuals in some regions, we suggest an optimal control approach based on a travel-blocking vicinity strategy which aims to control a group of cells, or a patch, by restricting movements of infected people coming from its neighboring cells. We apply a discrete version of Pontryagin's maximum principle to state the necessary conditions and characterization of the travel-blocking optimal controls. We provide cellular simulations based on discrete progressive-regressive iterative schemes associated with the obtained multi-points boundary value problems. For illustrating the modeling and optimal control approaches, we consider an example of 100 regions.

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来源期刊
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
审稿时长
4-8 weeks
期刊介绍: The theory of difference equations, the methods used, and their wide applications have advanced beyond their adolescent stage to occupy a central position in applicable analysis. In fact, in the last 15 years, the proliferation of the subject has been witnessed by hundreds of research articles, several monographs, many international conferences, and numerous special sessions. The theory of differential and difference equations forms two extreme representations of real world problems. For example, a simple population model when represented as a differential equation shows the good behavior of solutions whereas the corresponding discrete analogue shows the chaotic behavior. The actual behavior of the population is somewhere in between. The aim of Advances in Difference Equations is to report mainly the new developments in the field of difference equations, and their applications in all fields. We will also consider research articles emphasizing the qualitative behavior of solutions of ordinary, partial, delay, fractional, abstract, stochastic, fuzzy, and set-valued differential equations. Advances in Difference Equations will accept high-quality articles containing original research results and survey articles of exceptional merit.
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