H7N9不仅危害人类健康,也打击了股市。

Advances in disease control and prevention Pub Date : 2017-01-01 Epub Date: 2017-05-30 DOI:10.25196/adcp201711
Yan Jiang, Yi Zhang, Chunna Ma, Quanyi Wang, Chao Xu, Connor Donovan, Gholam Ali, Tan Xu, Wenjie Sun
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引用次数: 28

摘要

目的:探讨中国H7N9日报告病例数与股票价格指数的相关性。方法:收集2013年2月19日- 2014年3月31日H7N9日报告病例及股票市场板块指数信息。采用分布滞后非线性模型来描述股票指数的变化趋势。结果:H7N9日报告病例数与禽流感行业指数收盘价格(P < 0.05)和上证综合指数开盘价格(P = 0.029)相关。当日报告病例数≤4时,禽流感分类指数随日报告病例数的增加而降低。病例数与中药板块指数、生物制品板块指数、生物医药板块指数的开盘价/收盘价相关(P < 0.05)。结论:新发或再发传染病的流行造成经济损失,反映在股票价格的变动上。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

H7N9 not only endanger human health but also hit stock marketing.

H7N9 not only endanger human health but also hit stock marketing.

H7N9 not only endanger human health but also hit stock marketing.

H7N9 not only endanger human health but also hit stock marketing.

Objective: This study aims to discuss the correlation between daily reported H7N9 cases and stock price indices in China.

Methods: Information on daily reported H7N9 cases and stock market sectors indices between February 19, 2013 and March 31, 2014 were collected. A distributed lag non-linear model was used to describe the variation trend for the stock indices.

Results: The daily reported number of H7N9 cases was associated with the closing price of the Avian Influenza Sector Index (P < 0.05) and the opening price of the Shanghai Composite Index (P = 0.029). The Avian Influenza Sector Index decreased with increasing of daily reported case number when daily reported cases ≤ 4. Case number was associated with the opening/closing price of the Chinese Traditional Medicine Sector Index, the Biological Product Sector Index, and the Biomedicine Sector Index (P < 0.05).

Conclusion: New or reemerging infectious diseases epidemic cause economic loss which is reflected in movements in stock prices.

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