关岛一个村庄受到多氯联苯污染后的癌症死亡率。

Hawaii medical journal Pub Date : 2011-11-01
Robert L Haddock, Grazyna Badowski, Renata Bordallo
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引用次数: 0

摘要

未标明:在Merizo村最受欢迎的渔场释放多氯联苯污染物10多年后,观察到该村居民的比例癌症死亡率有所上升。这种增加的速度持续了大约20年,之后又恢复到接近关岛全岛的水平。虽然该村环境的多氯联苯污染与癌症死亡率增加之间的时间联系很有趣,但这并不一定表明存在因果关系。目的:探讨Cocos泻湖多氯联苯污染与邻近Merizo村癌症死亡之间可能的时间关系。方法:研究中使用的数据包括关岛癌症登记处记录的死亡人数(2000年至2007年)和从原始死亡证明中收集的数据(1968年至1999年)。为了检查梅里佐地区因癌症死亡的比例与关岛其他地区相比是否存在显著差异,将死亡人数分为1968-1977年、1978-1987年、1988-1997年和1998-2007年四个10年期,并对每个时期分别进行皮尔逊卡方检验。虽然在Merizo村记录的新癌症病例数量不足以与岛上其他地区的单年发病率进行比较,得出具有统计学意义的结论,但一项比例死亡率研究表明,1978-1997年期间,Merizo村与其他村庄相比明显增加。结论:虽然不可能肯定地得出结论,Cocos泻湖的多氯联苯污染是1978-1987年10年间Merizo村观察到的癌症死亡比例上升的原因,但这种上升和随后随着多氯联苯水平下降而下降,表明这些趋势可能是相关的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Cancer mortality following polychlorinated biphenyl (PCB) contamination of a Guam village.

Unlabelled: Beginning more than 10 years after the release of polychlorinated biphenyl (PCB) contamination in the favored fishing grounds of Merizo village, an increase in the proportional cancer mortality rate was observed among residents of the village. This increased rate continued for approximately 20 years after which it returned to near island-wide Guam levels. Although the temporal association between PCB contamination of the environment of this village and an increase in cancer mortality is intriguing, it does not necessarily demonstrate a cause and effect relationship.

Objective: To investigate a possible temporal relationship between PCB contamination of the Cocos Lagoon and cancer deaths in the adjoining village of Merizo.

Methods: Data utilized in the study included deaths recorded by the Guam Cancer Registry (years 2000 to 2007) and data collected from original death certificates (years 1968-1999). To check whether there was a significant difference in the proportion of deaths due to cancer in Merizo compared with the rest of Guam, deaths were grouped in four 10-year periods, 1968-1977, 1978-1987, 1988-1997, and 1998-2007, and the Pearson Chi-Square test was calculated for each period separately

Results: While the number of new cancer cases recorded in the village of Merizo were insufficient in number to draw a statistically significant conclusion when single year incidence rates were compared to the rest of the island, a proportional mortality study showed a distinct increase for the village of Merizo compared to other villages for the period 1978-1997.

Conclusion: While it is not possible to conclude with certainty that PCB contamination of the Cocos Lagoon was responsible for the observed increase in the proportion of cancer deaths in Merizo village beginning during the 10-year period 1978-1987, that increase and the subsequent decrease as PCB levels also decreased presents the possibility that these trends may be related.

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