增长模型参数的准确性:数据收集频率和持续时间以及缺失信息的影响。

Growth Development and Aging Pub Date : 2008-01-01
Samuel E Aggrey
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究比较了Gompertz模型在(1)数据采集频率低、(2)数据采集被截断、(3)数据缺失情况下对生长参数预测的准确性。与每周收集的数据相比,当模型拟合到两周收集的数据时,初始生长率和衰减率降低了一半。这种减少导致最大生长年龄的增加,随后过度预测了渐近体重。当仅使用部分生长持续时间进行预测时,初始生长速率和衰变速率都降低了。数据截断的程度也影响了估计参数的两性二态性。使用前渐近数据进行增长参数预测不能准确地确定增长的内在效率。然而,使用生长曲线不同阶段缺失体重的生长数据似乎不会显著影响预测的生长参数。关于内在生长的推测性或诊断性结论应在短时间间隔内收集数据,以避免在预测初始增长率、指数衰减率、最大生长年龄和渐近权重时可能出现的不准确。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Accuracy of growth model parameters: effects of frequency and duration of data collection, and missing information.

This study was done to compare the accuracy of prediction of growth parameters using the Gompertz model when (1) data was collected infrequently, (2) data collection was truncated, and (3) data was missing. Initial growth rate and rate of decay were reduced by half when the model was fitted to data collected biweekly compared to data collected weekly. This reduction led to an increase in age of maximum growth and subsequently over-predicted the asymptotic body weight. When only part of the growth duration was used for prediction, both the initial growth rate and rate of decay were reduced. The degree of data truncation also affected sexual dimorphism of the parameters estimated. Using pre-asymptotic data for growth parameter prediction does not allow the intrinsic efficiency of growth to be determined accurately. However, using growth data with body weights missing at different phases of the growth curve does not seem to significantly affect the predicted growth parameters. Speculative or diagnostic conclusions on intrinsic growth should be done with data collected at short intervals to avoid potential inaccuracies in the prediction of initial growth rate, exponential decay rate, age of maximum growth and asymptotic weight.

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