与速度相关的措施和因素对碰撞结果的总体影响。

A D'Elia, S Newstead, M Cameron
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引用次数: 0

摘要

从2000年12月至2002年7月,澳大利亚维多利亚州采取了一系列与速度有关的倡议和措施。这项研究的广泛目的是评估一揽子计划对崩溃结果的总体影响。每月碰撞计数和损伤严重程度比例分别使用泊松和logistic回归模型进行评估。在尽可能调整非高速道路安全措施和社会经济因素后,该模型衡量了一揽子措施的总体效果。与速度相关的一揽子计划与统计上显著的伤亡事故估计减少有关,并表明随着时间的推移,伤害严重程度有增加减少的趋势。二零零零年十二月至二零零二年七月,在澳洲维多利亚州实施三项新的速度执法措施。这些措施分阶段实施,涉及以下主要部分:更隐蔽地使用流动测速摄影机,包括不使用闪光灯的行动;高速摄影机工作时间增加50%;降低摄像头的速度检测阈值。此外,在2001年至2002年期间,政府推行每小时50公里的一般市区速度限制(2001年1月),与速度有关的广告增加,包括“擦除五”运动,有关上述执法措施的媒体公告,以及超速罚款重组。上述因素结合起来构成了一系列与速度相关的举措和因素。该一揽子计划代表了维多利亚州政府机构的一个广泛的长期计划,旨在通过三个相互关联的策略来降低速度:更密集的警察执行速度限制以阻止潜在的违法者,即刚才描述的三个新的速度执法举措-支持更高的处罚;将维多利亚州本地街道的限速从每小时60公里降至每小时50公里;以及利用大众传播媒介(电视、广播和广告牌)提供信息,以强调减少低水平超速的好处-这是“擦除5”的中心信息。这些战略在整个维多利亚州实施,旨在覆盖尽可能多的道路使用者。本研究旨在评估速度相关套餐的整体有效性。研究目标是:记录每个限速区和墨尔本与维多利亚州其他地区相比增加的测速摄像头活动;评估一揽子计划对崩溃结果的总体影响;尽可能考虑非速度道路安全措施和社会经济因素对碰撞结果的影响,否则这些因素将影响与速度有关的一揽子评估;并检查墨尔本和维多利亚州农村高速公路的速度趋势,特别是超速行驶的车辆比例。本文介绍了在尽可能调整非速度道路安全措施和社会经济因素的影响后,与速度相关的一揽子措施对碰撞结果的总体影响的评估结果。D'Elia, Newstead和Cameron(2007)完整地记录了研究结果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Overall impact of speed-related initiatives and factors on crash outcomes.

From December 2000 until July 2002 a package of speed-related initiatives and factors took place in Victoria, Australia. The broad aim of this study was to evaluate the overall impact of the package on crash outcomes. Monthly crash counts and injury severity proportions were assessed using Poisson and logistic regression models respectively. The model measured the overall effect of the package after adjusting as far as possible for non-speed road safety initiatives and socio-economic factors. The speed-related package was associated with statistically significant estimated reductions in casualty crashes and suggested reductions in injury severity with trends towards increased reductions over time. From December 2000 until July 2002, three new speed enforcement initiatives were implemented in Victoria, Australia. These initiatives were introduced in stages and involved the following key components: More covert operations of mobile speed cameras, including flash-less operations; 50% increase in speed camera operating hours; and lowering of cameras' speed detection threshold. In addition, during the period 2001 to 2002, the 50 km/h General Urban Speed Limit (GUSL) was introduced (January 2001), there was an increase in speed-related advertising including the "Wipe Off 5" campaign, media announcements were made related to the above enforcement initiatives and there was a speeding penalty restructure. The above elements combine to make up a package of speed-related initiatives and factors. The package represents a broad, long term program by Victorian government agencies to reduce speed based on three linked strategies: more intensive Police enforcement of speed limits to deter potential offenders, i.e. the three new speed enforcement initiatives just described - supported by higher penalties; a reduction in the speed limit on local streets throughout Victoria from 60 km/h to 50 km/h; and provision of information using the mass media (television, radio and billboard) to reinforce the benefits of reducing low level speeding - the central message of "Wipe Off 5". These strategies were implemented across the entire state of Victoria with the intention of covering as many road users as possible. This study aimed to evaluate the overall effectiveness of the speed-related package. The study objectives were: to document the increased speed camera activity in each speed limit zone and in Melbourne compared with the rest of Victoria; to evaluate the overall effect on crash outcomes of the package; to account as far as possible for the effect on crash outcomes of non-speed road safety initiatives and socio-economic factors, which would otherwise influence the speed-related package evaluation; and to examine speed trends in Melbourne and on Victorian rural highways, especially the proportions of vehicles travelling at excessive speeds. This paper presents the results of the evaluation of the overall impact on crash outcomes associated with the speed-related package, after adjusting as far as possible for the effect of non-speed road safety initiatives and socio-economic factors. D'Elia, Newstead and Cameron (2007) document the study results in full.

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