{"title":"具有最优控制策略的网络模型的麻疹动力学。","authors":"Yuyi Xue, Xiaoe Ruan, Yanni Xiao","doi":"10.1186/s13662-021-03306-y","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>To investigate the influences of heterogeneity and waning immunity on measles transmission, we formulate a network model with periodic transmission rate, and theoretically examine the threshold dynamics. We numerically find that the waning of immunity can lead to an increase in the basic reproduction number <math><msub><mi>R</mi> <mn>0</mn></msub> </math> and the density of infected individuals. Moreover, there exists a critical level for average degree above which <math><msub><mi>R</mi> <mn>0</mn></msub> </math> increases quicker in the scale-free network than in the random network. To design the effective control strategies for the subpopulations with different activities, we examine the optimal control problem of the heterogeneous model. Numerical studies suggest us no matter what the network is, we should implement control measures as soon as possible once the outbreak takes off, and particularly, the subpopulation with high connectivity should require high intensity of interventions. However, with delayed initiation of controls, relatively strong control measures should be given to groups with medium degrees. Furthermore, the allocation of costs (or resources) should coincide with their contact patterns.</p>","PeriodicalId":53311,"journal":{"name":"Advances in Difference Equations","volume":"2021 1","pages":"138"},"PeriodicalIF":4.1000,"publicationDate":"2021-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1186/s13662-021-03306-y","citationCount":"3","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Measles dynamics on network models with optimal control strategies.\",\"authors\":\"Yuyi Xue, Xiaoe Ruan, Yanni Xiao\",\"doi\":\"10.1186/s13662-021-03306-y\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><p>To investigate the influences of heterogeneity and waning immunity on measles transmission, we formulate a network model with periodic transmission rate, and theoretically examine the threshold dynamics. We numerically find that the waning of immunity can lead to an increase in the basic reproduction number <math><msub><mi>R</mi> <mn>0</mn></msub> </math> and the density of infected individuals. Moreover, there exists a critical level for average degree above which <math><msub><mi>R</mi> <mn>0</mn></msub> </math> increases quicker in the scale-free network than in the random network. To design the effective control strategies for the subpopulations with different activities, we examine the optimal control problem of the heterogeneous model. Numerical studies suggest us no matter what the network is, we should implement control measures as soon as possible once the outbreak takes off, and particularly, the subpopulation with high connectivity should require high intensity of interventions. However, with delayed initiation of controls, relatively strong control measures should be given to groups with medium degrees. Furthermore, the allocation of costs (or resources) should coincide with their contact patterns.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":53311,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Advances in Difference Equations\",\"volume\":\"2021 1\",\"pages\":\"138\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":4.1000,\"publicationDate\":\"2021-01-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1186/s13662-021-03306-y\",\"citationCount\":\"3\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Advances in Difference Equations\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"100\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1186/s13662-021-03306-y\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"数学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"2021/2/27 0:00:00\",\"PubModel\":\"Epub\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"Mathematics\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Advances in Difference Equations","FirstCategoryId":"100","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s13662-021-03306-y","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2021/2/27 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"Mathematics","Score":null,"Total":0}
Measles dynamics on network models with optimal control strategies.
To investigate the influences of heterogeneity and waning immunity on measles transmission, we formulate a network model with periodic transmission rate, and theoretically examine the threshold dynamics. We numerically find that the waning of immunity can lead to an increase in the basic reproduction number and the density of infected individuals. Moreover, there exists a critical level for average degree above which increases quicker in the scale-free network than in the random network. To design the effective control strategies for the subpopulations with different activities, we examine the optimal control problem of the heterogeneous model. Numerical studies suggest us no matter what the network is, we should implement control measures as soon as possible once the outbreak takes off, and particularly, the subpopulation with high connectivity should require high intensity of interventions. However, with delayed initiation of controls, relatively strong control measures should be given to groups with medium degrees. Furthermore, the allocation of costs (or resources) should coincide with their contact patterns.
期刊介绍:
The theory of difference equations, the methods used, and their wide applications have advanced beyond their adolescent stage to occupy a central position in applicable analysis. In fact, in the last 15 years, the proliferation of the subject has been witnessed by hundreds of research articles, several monographs, many international conferences, and numerous special sessions.
The theory of differential and difference equations forms two extreme representations of real world problems. For example, a simple population model when represented as a differential equation shows the good behavior of solutions whereas the corresponding discrete analogue shows the chaotic behavior. The actual behavior of the population is somewhere in between.
The aim of Advances in Difference Equations is to report mainly the new developments in the field of difference equations, and their applications in all fields. We will also consider research articles emphasizing the qualitative behavior of solutions of ordinary, partial, delay, fractional, abstract, stochastic, fuzzy, and set-valued differential equations.
Advances in Difference Equations will accept high-quality articles containing original research results and survey articles of exceptional merit.