结合疫苗接种和抗病毒控制的SE(Is)(Ih)AR流行模型

IF 4.1 3区 数学 Q1 Mathematics
Advances in Difference Equations Pub Date : 2021-01-01 Epub Date: 2021-02-01 DOI:10.1186/s13662-021-03248-5
M De la Sen, A Ibeas
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引用次数: 27

摘要

在本文中,我们研究了一个新提出的扩展SEIR流行病模型解的非负性和稳定性,即所谓的SE(Is)(Ih)AR流行病模型,该模型可能对COVID-19大流行演变的表征和控制有潜在的兴趣。该模型将无症状感染亚群和住院感染亚群纳入经典SEIR模型的标准感染亚群。同时,它还包括反馈疫苗接种和抗病毒治疗控制。暴露亚群在最终不同的比例参数下向三种感染亚群有三次不同的过渡。证明了唯一的无病平衡点和唯一的地方性平衡点的存在性,并计算了它们的显式分量。根据解及其平衡态的次代矩阵性质、基本再生数的取值、非负性,研究了它们的局部渐近稳定性性质和局部平衡点的可达性。将存在一个或两个控制的复制数与无控制的复制数联系起来,以强调这种数字随着控制的增加而减少。我们还证明了,依赖于基本复制数的值,它们中只有一个是全局渐近吸引子,且解没有极限环。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

On an SE(Is)(Ih)AR epidemic model with combined vaccination and antiviral controls for COVID-19 pandemic.

On an SE(Is)(Ih)AR epidemic model with combined vaccination and antiviral controls for COVID-19 pandemic.

On an SE(Is)(Ih)AR epidemic model with combined vaccination and antiviral controls for COVID-19 pandemic.

On an SE(Is)(Ih)AR epidemic model with combined vaccination and antiviral controls for COVID-19 pandemic.

In this paper, we study the nonnegativity and stability properties of the solutions of a newly proposed extended SEIR epidemic model, the so-called SE(Is)(Ih)AR epidemic model which might be of potential interest in the characterization and control of the COVID-19 pandemic evolution. The proposed model incorporates both asymptomatic infectious and hospitalized infectious subpopulations to the standard infectious subpopulation of the classical SEIR model. In parallel, it also incorporates feedback vaccination and antiviral treatment controls. The exposed subpopulation has three different transitions to the three kinds of infectious subpopulations under eventually different proportionality parameters. The existence of a unique disease-free equilibrium point and a unique endemic one is proved together with the calculation of their explicit components. Their local asymptotic stability properties and the attainability of the endemic equilibrium point are investigated based on the next generation matrix properties, the value of the basic reproduction number, and nonnegativity properties of the solution and its equilibrium states. The reproduction numbers in the presence of one or both controls is linked to the control-free reproduction number to emphasize that such a number decreases with the control gains. We also prove that, depending on the value of the basic reproduction number, only one of them is a global asymptotic attractor and that the solution has no limit cycles.

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来源期刊
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
审稿时长
4-8 weeks
期刊介绍: The theory of difference equations, the methods used, and their wide applications have advanced beyond their adolescent stage to occupy a central position in applicable analysis. In fact, in the last 15 years, the proliferation of the subject has been witnessed by hundreds of research articles, several monographs, many international conferences, and numerous special sessions. The theory of differential and difference equations forms two extreme representations of real world problems. For example, a simple population model when represented as a differential equation shows the good behavior of solutions whereas the corresponding discrete analogue shows the chaotic behavior. The actual behavior of the population is somewhere in between. The aim of Advances in Difference Equations is to report mainly the new developments in the field of difference equations, and their applications in all fields. We will also consider research articles emphasizing the qualitative behavior of solutions of ordinary, partial, delay, fractional, abstract, stochastic, fuzzy, and set-valued differential equations. Advances in Difference Equations will accept high-quality articles containing original research results and survey articles of exceptional merit.
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