全球气候变化和传染病的出现/再次出现

Roland Zell
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引用次数: 135

摘要

病媒传播疾病发病率的变化与极端天气事件和天气条件的年度变化有关。此外,据推测,全球变暖可能导致传染病爆发的增加。虽然一些报告将疾病暴发与单一天气事件、厄尔尼诺Niño/南方涛动和其他大规模气候波动联系起来,但没有一份报告明确将病媒传播的疾病与气温升高以及预计随之而来的环境变化联系起来。尚未完全了解的病原体传播动力学的复杂性与众多变量可能是评估风险因素的问题的一个解释。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Global climate change and the emergence/re-emergence of infectious diseases

Variation in the incidence of vector-borne diseases is associated with extreme weather events and annual changes in weather conditions. Moreover, it is assumed that global warming might lead to an increase of infectious disease outbreaks. While a number of reports link disease outbreaks to single weather events, the El Niño/Southern Oscillation and other largescale climate fluctuations, no report unequivocally associates vector-borne discases with increased temperature and the environmental changes expected to accompany it. The complexity of not yet fully understood pathogen transmission dynamics with numerous variables might be an explanation of the problems in assessing the risk factors.

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