波兰到2020年的劳动力预测:方法和结果。

Polish population review Pub Date : 1996-01-01
A Zgierska
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引用次数: 0

摘要

“1995年,中央统计局劳工统计司开始编制波兰至2020年劳动力预测....的方法工作变体¿intermediate假设人口经济活动从1978- 1988年(1978年和1988年人口普查)的水平缓慢重建。“重建”的主要部分将在1995-2010年进行。预期变化最大的是青年(18-24岁)、行动不便的人(男性45-64岁,女性45-59岁)和第一批退休年龄群体。变体“最大”假设预期的“重建”劳动力参与率将更快(与变体“中间”相比)。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Forecast of labour force in Poland to the year 2020: methodology and results.

"In 1995 the Labour Statistics Division of the Central Statistical Office (CSO) started methodological work on the preparation of a forecast of the labour force in Poland to the year 2020.... Variant ¿intermediate' assumes a slow reconstruction of the economic activity of population from the level of the period 1978-88 (census 1978 and census 1988). The main part of this ¿reconstruction' will take place in the years 1995-2010. The greatest anticipated changes concern youths (18-24 years), persons of immobility age (males 45-64 years and females 45-59 years) and the first groups of the retirement age. Variant ¿maximum' assumes that the anticipated ¿reconstruction' labour force participation rate will be faster (compared with variant ¿intermediate')."

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