基于户主群体变化的家庭类型预测方法——第2部分。在家庭形成阶段按家庭类型预测婚姻状况和户主率[]。

M Oe
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引用次数: 0

摘要

“本文是按家庭类型预测(日本)家庭的方法研究的第二部分....第1部分是对35岁以上户主的不同家庭类型家庭的过渡过程进行建模,以及使用过渡模型....按家庭类型预测家庭的方法第2部分主要介绍以34岁以下为户主的形成阶段家庭的预测方法....在预测结果中,1990年至2010年间,30-34岁男性的未婚比例从32.8%上升至37.3%,25-29岁女性的未婚比例从40.4%上升至47.1%。晚婚趋势将持续到21世纪初。”(英文摘要)
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
[[The method for projecting households by family type in terms of headship cohort change--Part 2. Projecting marital status and headship rates by family type in household formation stage]].

"This article is Part 2 of the study on the method for projecting households [in Japan] by family type.... Part 1 was on modelling the transition process among different family types of households headed by [persons] over 35 years old, and on the method for projecting households by family type using the transition model.... Part 2 focuses on the method for projecting households in the formation stage headed by [those] under 34 years old.... Among projection outcomes, the proportion never married of males aged 30-34 goes up from 32.8 per cent to 37.3 per cent between 1990 and 2010, and the proportion never married of females aged 25-29 from 40.4 per cent to 47.1 per cent. [The] tendency of late marriage will continue to the beginning of the twenty-first century." (SUMMARY IN ENG)

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