[生育率压缩对生育序列和年龄构成的影响:模拟]。

C Yang
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摘要

本研究以族群成分预测为基础,模拟生育压缩对台湾人口出生序列与年龄构成的影响,并探讨其对社会福利的影响。作为第一步,我们将生育计划固定在1956年的年龄模式上,同时让总生育率保持不变,[并]模拟1956年至1992年的单一年龄人口群体....随后,我们假设了一个固定的生育年龄模式,一个压缩模式和一个扩展模式在五年的预测中……从1997年到2097年的年龄组。”(英文摘要)
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
[The effects of fertility compression on birth sequence and age composition in Taiwan: a simulation].

"Based on the cohort component projection, this paper simulates the effects of fertility compression on birth sequence and age composition in Taiwan, and explores the implications for social welfare. As a first step, we fix the fertility schedule on the age pattern of 1956 while leaving the TFR to shift as it was, [and] simulate the single year of age population groups from 1956 to 1992.... We subsequently assumed a fixed age pattern of fertility, a compressed pattern and an expanded pattern in a projection of five year...age groups from 1997 to 2097." (SUMMARY IN ENG)

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