Future directions for research in laboratory medicine: the findings of a Delphi survey of stakeholders.

In July 1995, we asked 101 experts to anticipate future areas for research in clinical laboratory medicine using a modified Delphi survey approach. The panel included academicians, clinical laboratory professionals, laboratory managers, practicing physicians public health officials, hospital administrators, and representatives of manufacturing industries, managed care organizations, commercial laboratories, and government health agencies. The participants predicted fewer laboratories, more automation, and fewer skilled staff needed in the future. The consensus was that laboratory quality assurance will focus on patient outcomes and be benchmarked against peer groups. They agreed that quality assurance routinely will be integrated into testing kits. Measures derived from medical informatics, such as outcomes analysis and utilization statistics, will become a standard feature of health care. A major area of concern was the effect that reorganizing health care and striving for cost containment will have on laboratory services. These views were consistent with those expressed by participants at a CDC conference on the frontiers of laboratory medicine research held shortly after the study was completed. These topics by now are familiar to most laboratory professionals, and we urge them to explore the many research issues raised with their colleagues in their clinical laboratories, health-care organizations, and industry.