群体决策中的不确定性因素:健康促进中心的人员配置和费率制定。

M E Hatcher
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在群体决策支持系统(GDSS)中,包含风险或不确定性的方法多种多样。蒙特卡罗模拟是一种方法。本文介绍了蒙特卡罗模拟在群体决策和业务多样化决策支持系统中的应用。具体地说,与健康促进中心的财务相关的不确定性评估人员配置和费率设置。结果变量的分布用于决策规则。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Uncertainty considerations in group decisions: staffing and ratesetting in a health promotion center.

There are a variety of methods for including risk or uncertainty in Group Decision Support Systems (GDSS). Monte Carlo simulation is one method. An application of Monte Carlo simulation in Group Decisions and GDSS for diversification of services is presented in this paper. Specifically, the uncertainty associated with the finances of a Health Promotion Center are evaluated for staffing and rate setting. The distributions of outcome variables are used in decision rules.

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