人口:现状和政策选择

Bernard Berelson , W. Parker Mauldin, Sheldon J. Segal
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引用次数: 6

摘要

本文概述了人口事务的现状和备选办法,特别是在努力平衡发展中国家的生育率和改善人类福利的前景方面。它追溯了自1960年以来官方对人口问题的历史性关注,包括人口政策和行动方案的制定、人员和培训及研究机构的发展、生物医学和避孕技术、公共卫生和行动方案、人口和社会科学知识的增加以及人口援助的增加。这篇论文集中讨论了通过降低生育率来降低增长率的问题,但也考虑了发展中国家的死亡率和人口分布问题。还讨论了发达国家的人口趋势,包括越来越多地采用生育政策。这篇论文主要分为两个部分:第一部分,描绘出我们所处的位置,或者似乎所处的位置;然后是未来人口趋势和政策选择的图景。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Population: Current status and policy options

This paper summarizes the current status and options in population affairs, particularly with respect to efforts to balance fertility rates with prospects for improving human welfare in the developing countries. It traces the historic increase of official attention to population matters since 1960 including the establishment of population policies and action programs, the development of personnel and of training and research institutions, the increases in knowledge in biomedicine and contraceptive technology, public health and action programs, demography and social science, and the increase in population assistance. The paper centers on the problem of lowered growth through fertility reduction but also considers issues of mortality and population distribution in developing countries. Population trends in developed countries, including the increased adoption of pronatalist policies, are also discussed. The paper is arranged in two main parts: first, a picture of where we are, or seem to be; then a picture of what lies ahead in demographic trends and policy choices.

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