{"title":"GraphSurv:一个基于图形的纵向数据动态生存分析框架。","authors":"Junbei Zhang, Xuejing Zhao","doi":"10.1109/TCBBIO.2026.3741569","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Dynamic survival analysis in longitudinal biomedical studies updates individualized event-risk estimates as repeated clinical measurements accumulate. These data are often irregularly sampled, multivariate, and incomplete, requiring models to capture both temporal dependencies across visits and cross-variable dependencies within visits. To address these challenges, we propose GraphSurv, a graph-based framework that represents longitudinal histories through visit-level temporal states and variable-specific representations. Bidirectional message passing and explicit inter-visit interval encoding jointly capture cross-variable and temporal dependencies, and the learned representations are used for discrete-time hazard modeling and dynamic survival prediction. Experiments on real-world longitudinal survival datasets show competitive performance across discrimination and calibration metrics, with the most consistent improvements in time-dependent discrimination. Landmark evaluations further demonstrate adaptive risk updating as follow-up information accrues. SHAP-based interpretation of the predicted risk scores also indicates that the proposed framework can reveal clinically meaningful and time-varying feature contributions to risk prediction.</p>","PeriodicalId":520987,"journal":{"name":"IEEE transactions on computational biology and bioinformatics","volume":"PP ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2026-10-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"GraphSurv: A Graph-Based Framework for Dynamic Survival Analysis With Longitudinal Data.\",\"authors\":\"Junbei Zhang, Xuejing Zhao\",\"doi\":\"10.1109/TCBBIO.2026.3741569\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><p>Dynamic survival analysis in longitudinal biomedical studies updates individualized event-risk estimates as repeated clinical measurements accumulate. These data are often irregularly sampled, multivariate, and incomplete, requiring models to capture both temporal dependencies across visits and cross-variable dependencies within visits. To address these challenges, we propose GraphSurv, a graph-based framework that represents longitudinal histories through visit-level temporal states and variable-specific representations. Bidirectional message passing and explicit inter-visit interval encoding jointly capture cross-variable and temporal dependencies, and the learned representations are used for discrete-time hazard modeling and dynamic survival prediction. Experiments on real-world longitudinal survival datasets show competitive performance across discrimination and calibration metrics, with the most consistent improvements in time-dependent discrimination. Landmark evaluations further demonstrate adaptive risk updating as follow-up information accrues. SHAP-based interpretation of the predicted risk scores also indicates that the proposed framework can reveal clinically meaningful and time-varying feature contributions to risk prediction.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":520987,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"IEEE transactions on computational biology and bioinformatics\",\"volume\":\"PP \",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2026-10-12\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"IEEE transactions on computational biology and bioinformatics\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1109/TCBBIO.2026.3741569\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"IEEE transactions on computational biology and bioinformatics","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1109/TCBBIO.2026.3741569","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
GraphSurv: A Graph-Based Framework for Dynamic Survival Analysis With Longitudinal Data.
Dynamic survival analysis in longitudinal biomedical studies updates individualized event-risk estimates as repeated clinical measurements accumulate. These data are often irregularly sampled, multivariate, and incomplete, requiring models to capture both temporal dependencies across visits and cross-variable dependencies within visits. To address these challenges, we propose GraphSurv, a graph-based framework that represents longitudinal histories through visit-level temporal states and variable-specific representations. Bidirectional message passing and explicit inter-visit interval encoding jointly capture cross-variable and temporal dependencies, and the learned representations are used for discrete-time hazard modeling and dynamic survival prediction. Experiments on real-world longitudinal survival datasets show competitive performance across discrimination and calibration metrics, with the most consistent improvements in time-dependent discrimination. Landmark evaluations further demonstrate adaptive risk updating as follow-up information accrues. SHAP-based interpretation of the predicted risk scores also indicates that the proposed framework can reveal clinically meaningful and time-varying feature contributions to risk prediction.