经济学和金融学中的贝叶斯方法:一个统一的调查和分类

IF 4.7 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
Journal of Econometrics Pub Date : 2026-07-01 Epub Date: 2026-06-15 DOI:10.1016/j.jeconom.2026.106269
Subal C. Kumbhakar, Sushanta K. Mallick
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本期特刊汇集了21篇论文,这些论文反映了贝叶斯计量经济学不断扩大的范围和方法的演变。我们引入了一种新的组织分类法,将传统贝叶斯方法(基于共轭先验、基于标准似然估计和已建立的马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗(MCMC)技术)与当代贝叶斯前沿(以非参数方法、变分推理、高维收缩和与机器学习集成为特征)区分开来。我们进一步对两大领域的贡献进行分类,涵盖经济学(专注于宏观经济学、微观经济学和气候计量经济学)和金融学(专注于资产定价、波动性和银行商业模式)的应用。在这些领域中,出现了四个交叉主题:(1)高维性、波动性和时变动力学;(2)结构辨识与模型不确定性;(3)半参数和非参数柔性;(4)数据质量、粒度和新颖的数据结构。本综述综合了本期特刊的方法论和实证贡献,提出了一个统一的框架来组织贝叶斯计量经济学的最新进展,并确定了未来研究的未解决的挑战和有希望的方向。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Bayesian methods in economics and finance: A unified survey and taxonomy
This special issue brings together 21 papers that reflect the expanding scope and methodological evolution of Bayesian econometrics. We introduce a new organizing taxonomy that distinguishes between Traditional Bayesian Approaches - rooted in conjugate priors, standard likelihood-based estimation, and established Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) techniques - and Contemporary Bayesian Frontiers, characterized by nonparametric methods, variational inference, high-dimensional shrinkage, and integration with machine learning. We further classify contributions across two broad domains covering applications in Economics (focusing on macroeconomics, microeconomics, and climate econometrics) and Finance (focusing on asset pricing, volatility, and bank business models). Across these fields, four cross-cutting themes emerge: (1) high-dimensionality, volatility, and time-varying dynamics; (2) structural identification and model uncertainty; (3) semiparametric and nonparametric flexibility; and (4) data quality, granularity, and novel data structures. This survey synthesizes the methodological and empirical contributions of the special issue, proposes a unifying framework for organizing recent advances in Bayesian econometrics, and identifies unresolved challenges and promising directions for future research.
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来源期刊
Journal of Econometrics
Journal of Econometrics 社会科学-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
8.60
自引率
1.60%
发文量
220
审稿时长
3-8 weeks
期刊介绍: The Journal of Econometrics serves as an outlet for important, high quality, new research in both theoretical and applied econometrics. The scope of the Journal includes papers dealing with identification, estimation, testing, decision, and prediction issues encountered in economic research. Classical Bayesian statistics, and machine learning methods, are decidedly within the range of the Journal''s interests. The Annals of Econometrics is a supplement to the Journal of Econometrics.
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