移动人群中的SIR模型:感染的传播和群体免疫

IF 3.5 1区 数学 Q1 MATHEMATICS
Communications on Pure and Applied Mathematics Pub Date : 2026-09-07 Epub Date: 2026-07-08 DOI:10.1002/cpa.70054
Duncan Dauvergne, Allan Sly
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在进行独立随机行走的粒子集合中,我们用SIR动力学研究了感染的传播。易感粒子在遇到被感染粒子时也会被感染。受感染的颗粒会愈合并被清除。我们证明,当为小时,感染以正概率永远存活并线性增长。此外,在感染到达一个地区后,它迅速穿过并留下一个群体免疫体系,该体系由恢复的颗粒、小阳性密度的易感颗粒和无感染颗粒组成。该模型的一个显著特征是在宽度的感染锋两侧同时存在超临界和亚临界相。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The SIR Model in a Moving Population: Propagation of Infection and Herd Immunity

In a collection of particles performing independent random walks on Z d $\mathbb {Z}^d$ we study the spread of an infection with SIR dynamics. Susceptible particles become infected when they meet an infected particle. Infected particles heal and are removed at rate ν $\nu$ . We show that when ν $\nu$ is small, with positive probability the infection survives forever and grows linearly. Furthermore, after the infection reaches a region, it quickly passes through and leaves behind a herd immunity regime consisting of recovered particles, a small positive density of susceptible particles, and no infected particles. One notable feature of this model is the simultaneous existence of supercritical and subcritical phases on either side of an infection front of O ( 1 ) $O(1)$  width.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
6.70
自引率
3.30%
发文量
59
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: Communications on Pure and Applied Mathematics (ISSN 0010-3640) is published monthly, one volume per year, by John Wiley & Sons, Inc. © 2019. The journal primarily publishes papers originating at or solicited by the Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences. It features recent developments in applied mathematics, mathematical physics, and mathematical analysis. The topics include partial differential equations, computer science, and applied mathematics. CPAM is devoted to mathematical contributions to the sciences; both theoretical and applied papers, of original or expository type, are included.
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