VancUber：网约车对公共交通、拥堵和交通死亡的长期影响

IF 0.9 4区经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS

Canadian Journal of Economics-Revue Canadienne D Economique Pub Date : 2025-11-19 DOI:10.1111/caje.70023

John Cairncross, Jonathan D. Hall, Craig Palsson

{"title":"VancUber：网约车对公共交通、拥堵和交通死亡的长期影响","authors":"John Cairncross, Jonathan D. Hall, Craig Palsson","doi":"10.1111/caje.70023","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>We investigate the long-run effect of ride-hailing on public transit ridership, traffic congestion, and traffic fatalities. We estimate the long-run effect by exploiting British Columbia's use of a pre-existing regulation in 2013 to ban ride-hailing from Vancouver. Using difference-in-differences, we show that the estimated effects are sensitive to the choice of control group. Motivated by this, we use the synthetic control method to construct a counterfactual Vancouver. We do not find a statistically significant effect of ride-hailing on our outcomes. To help understand these findings, we conduct a meta-analysis. We find significant heterogeneity in the literature's estimates, but the average estimate is near zero.</p>","PeriodicalId":47941,"journal":{"name":"Canadian Journal of Economics-Revue Canadienne D Economique","volume":"58 3","pages":"892-939"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9000,"publicationDate":"2025-11-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"VancUber: The long-run effect of ride-hailing on public transportation, congestion, and traffic fatalities\",\"authors\":\"John Cairncross, Jonathan D. Hall, Craig Palsson\",\"doi\":\"10.1111/caje.70023\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>We investigate the long-run effect of ride-hailing on public transit ridership, traffic congestion, and traffic fatalities. We estimate the long-run effect by exploiting British Columbia's use of a pre-existing regulation in 2013 to ban ride-hailing from Vancouver. Using difference-in-differences, we show that the estimated effects are sensitive to the choice of control group. Motivated by this, we use the synthetic control method to construct a counterfactual Vancouver. We do not find a statistically significant effect of ride-hailing on our outcomes. To help understand these findings, we conduct a meta-analysis. We find significant heterogeneity in the literature's estimates, but the average estimate is near zero.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":47941,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Canadian Journal of Economics-Revue Canadienne D Economique\",\"volume\":\"58 3\",\"pages\":\"892-939\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.9000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-11-19\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Canadian Journal of Economics-Revue Canadienne D Economique\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/caje.70023\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Canadian Journal of Economics-Revue Canadienne D Economique","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/caje.70023","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

摘要

我们调查了网约车对公共交通乘客、交通拥堵和交通死亡人数的长期影响。我们利用不列颠哥伦比亚省在2013年使用的一项预先存在的法规来估计长期影响，该法规禁止温哥华的网约车。利用差中的差，我们证明了估计的效果对对照组的选择是敏感的。基于此，我们采用综合控制方法构建了一个反事实的温哥华。我们没有发现网约车对我们的结果有统计学上显著的影响。为了帮助理解这些发现，我们进行了荟萃分析。我们在文献估计中发现了显著的异质性，但平均估计接近于零。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

查看原文本刊更多论文

VancUber: The long-run effect of ride-hailing on public transportation, congestion, and traffic fatalities

We investigate the long-run effect of ride-hailing on public transit ridership, traffic congestion, and traffic fatalities. We estimate the long-run effect by exploiting British Columbia's use of a pre-existing regulation in 2013 to ban ride-hailing from Vancouver. Using difference-in-differences, we show that the estimated effects are sensitive to the choice of control group. Motivated by this, we use the synthetic control method to construct a counterfactual Vancouver. We do not find a statistically significant effect of ride-hailing on our outcomes. To help understand these findings, we conduct a meta-analysis. We find significant heterogeneity in the literature's estimates, but the average estimate is near zero.

求助全文

通过发布文献求助，成功后即可免费获取论文全文。去求助

来源期刊

Canadian Journal of Economics-Revue Canadienne D Economique ECONOMICS-

CiteScore

2.20

自引率

6.20%

发文量

期刊介绍： The Canadian Journal of Economics (CJE) is the journal of the Canadian Economics Association (CEA) and is the primary academic economics journal based in Canada. The editors seek to maintain and enhance the position of the CJE as a major, internationally recognized journal and are very receptive to high-quality papers on any economics topic from any source. In addition, the editors recognize the Journal"s role as an important outlet for high-quality empirical papers about the Canadian economy and about Canadian policy issues.