AFEformer:用于时间序列预测的自适应频率增强变压器

IF 8 2区 计算机科学 Q1 AUTOMATION & CONTROL SYSTEMS
Zhiyong An, Lanlan Dong
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引用次数: 0

摘要

长期时间序列预测(LTSF)作为一个在现实世界中广泛应用的关键研究领域,已经引起了学术界和工业界的持续关注。尽管基于变压器的模型在捕获长期时间依赖性方面表现出很高的预测能力,但大多数模型直接在时域处理原始数据,而忽略了频域特征的表示。此外,具有频域的变压器模型往往直接学习权值,而忽略了时间序列的频率统计,导致低质量干扰频率的影响。此外,Transformer的自我关注只捕获序列内部的相关性,而忽略了不同序列之间的相关性,增加了过度拟合的敏感性。为了解决这些问题,我们创新地设计了一种具有时间外部注意力的自适应频率增强变压器(AFEformer),用于时间序列预测,该变压器侧重于增强重要的频域特征,以提供更准确的预测。具体而言,提出了一种自适应阈值策略的频域增强模块,利用频率统计信息选择性提取关键频谱分量,增强频域特征。此外,提出了具有无限范数和dropout层的时间外部注意增强模块,以探索不同样本序列之间的潜在相关性,减轻过拟合。在长期预测方面,综合实验表明,AFEformer在9个时间序列预测基准上达到了最先进的预测性能。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
AFEformer: An adaptive frequency enhancement transformer for time series prediction
Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF), as a key research domain with pervasive applications in real-world scenarios, has garnered sustained interest from both academic and industrial communities. Although transformer-based models have demonstrated high predictive capability in capturing long-term temporal dependencies, most of them directly process raw data in the time domain while ignoring the representation of features in the frequency domain. Additionally, transformer models with frequency domain often learn weights directly but overlook frequency statistics for time series, leading to the impact of low-quality interference frequencies. Moreover, Transformer’s self-attention captures correlations solely within sequences but neglects correlations among different sequences, increasing susceptibility to overfitting. To address these issues, we innovatively design an adaptive frequency enhancement transformer (AFEformer) with temporal external attention for time series forecasting, which focuses on enhancing important frequency domain features to provide more accurate forecasting. Specifically, a frequency domain enhancement module with an adaptive threshold strategy is proposed , using frequency statistics to selectively extract key spectral components and strengthen frequency domain features. Furthermore, the temporal external attention enhancement module with Infinite Norm and dropout layer is presented to explore potential correlations between different sample sequences and mitigate overfitting. Regarding long-term forecasting, comprehensive experiments demonstrate that AFEformer achieves state-of-the-art forecasting performance on nine time series forecasting benchmarks.
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来源期刊
Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence
Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence 工程技术-工程:电子与电气
CiteScore
9.60
自引率
10.00%
发文量
505
审稿时长
68 days
期刊介绍: Artificial Intelligence (AI) is pivotal in driving the fourth industrial revolution, witnessing remarkable advancements across various machine learning methodologies. AI techniques have become indispensable tools for practicing engineers, enabling them to tackle previously insurmountable challenges. Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence serves as a global platform for the swift dissemination of research elucidating the practical application of AI methods across all engineering disciplines. Submitted papers are expected to present novel aspects of AI utilized in real-world engineering applications, validated using publicly available datasets to ensure the replicability of research outcomes. Join us in exploring the transformative potential of AI in engineering.
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