Reduced Long-Term Survival After Postoperative Complications in Major Gastrointestinal Surgery.

Purpose: We primarily evaluated the relationship between postoperative complications and long-term survival in patients undergoing major gastrointestinal surgery. Secondarily, we investigated the relationship between the severity and the number of complications and long-term survival. While postoperative complications are prevalent after major abdominal surgery and associated with increased mortality, the effect of their severity and accumulation remains insufficiently explored.

Patients and methods: 1989 adult patients undergoing major gastrointestinal surgery between July 2010 and April 2022 were retrospectively studied. Complications were classified using the Clavien-Dindo system. Kaplan-Meier analysis assessed long-term survival, Cox proportional hazards regression with time-dependent coefficients evaluated the impact of complications on mortality.

Results: Median age was 64 years (IQR 53-74); 41.8% female and 63.0% of patients were diagnosed with malignancy. Elective procedures comprised 73.0% of cases. Complications occurred in 74.6% of patients. Mortality was higher in patients with complications (32.0%, 95% CI 29.7%-34.5%), compared to those without (21.7%, 95% CI 18.3-25.6%; P<0.001). Severe complications (Clavien-Dindo Grade ≥III) were associated with a 15.01-fold higher hazard of mortality within 18 months postoperatively (95% CI 6.83-33.0; P<0.001).

Conclusion: Postoperative complications significantly reduce long-term survival following major gastrointestinal surgery. Both their severity and frequency are critical determinants of poorer outcomes, emphasizing the need for effective prevention strategies.