Jie Lian , Xiao Wang , Sirong Huang , Dong Wang , Qin Zhao
{"title":"AirMamba:一个整合多尺度相关性和时频动态的PM2.5长期预测深度学习框架","authors":"Jie Lian , Xiao Wang , Sirong Huang , Dong Wang , Qin Zhao","doi":"10.1016/j.eswa.2025.129937","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Existing approaches for long-term forecasting of <span><math><msub><mtext>PM</mtext><mrow><mn>2.5</mn></mrow></msub></math></span> typically focus either on time-domain or frequency-domain features in isolation, neglecting their complementary interactions. This limitation restricts their capacity to effectively capture long-term trends. Moreover, the absence of explicit modeling of multi-scale correlations among influencing factors under complex environmental conditions may undermine both the stability and accuracy of model predictions. To overcome these limitations, we introduce AirMamba, a novel deep learning framework designed to enhance long-term <span><math><msub><mtext>PM</mtext><mrow><mn>2.5</mn></mrow></msub></math></span> forecasting by integrating multi-scale correlation analysis with time-frequency interactions. Specifically, a multi-scale inter-variable correlations extractor module is developed to capture the complex interdependencies among variables across diverse temporal scales. The framework leverages the Maximum Overlap Discrete Wavelet Transform (MODWT) to decompose time series data into multi-scale high-frequency and low-frequency components, thereby facilitating a comprehensive time-frequency analysis. An enhanced bidirectional Mamba structure is then employed to model both long- and short-term dependencies within the time series, informed by the identified time-frequency interactions. Extensive experiments demonstrate that the proposed method achieves superior forecasting performance compared to existing mainstream models.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":50461,"journal":{"name":"Expert Systems with Applications","volume":"299 ","pages":"Article 129937"},"PeriodicalIF":7.5000,"publicationDate":"2025-10-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"AirMamba: A deep learning framework for long-term PM2.5 forecasting integrating multi-scale correlations and time-frequency dynamics\",\"authors\":\"Jie Lian , Xiao Wang , Sirong Huang , Dong Wang , Qin Zhao\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.eswa.2025.129937\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>Existing approaches for long-term forecasting of <span><math><msub><mtext>PM</mtext><mrow><mn>2.5</mn></mrow></msub></math></span> typically focus either on time-domain or frequency-domain features in isolation, neglecting their complementary interactions. This limitation restricts their capacity to effectively capture long-term trends. Moreover, the absence of explicit modeling of multi-scale correlations among influencing factors under complex environmental conditions may undermine both the stability and accuracy of model predictions. To overcome these limitations, we introduce AirMamba, a novel deep learning framework designed to enhance long-term <span><math><msub><mtext>PM</mtext><mrow><mn>2.5</mn></mrow></msub></math></span> forecasting by integrating multi-scale correlation analysis with time-frequency interactions. Specifically, a multi-scale inter-variable correlations extractor module is developed to capture the complex interdependencies among variables across diverse temporal scales. The framework leverages the Maximum Overlap Discrete Wavelet Transform (MODWT) to decompose time series data into multi-scale high-frequency and low-frequency components, thereby facilitating a comprehensive time-frequency analysis. An enhanced bidirectional Mamba structure is then employed to model both long- and short-term dependencies within the time series, informed by the identified time-frequency interactions. Extensive experiments demonstrate that the proposed method achieves superior forecasting performance compared to existing mainstream models.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":50461,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Expert Systems with Applications\",\"volume\":\"299 \",\"pages\":\"Article 129937\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":7.5000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-10-09\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Expert Systems with Applications\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"94\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0957417425035523\",\"RegionNum\":1,\"RegionCategory\":\"计算机科学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Expert Systems with Applications","FirstCategoryId":"94","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0957417425035523","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"计算机科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
AirMamba: A deep learning framework for long-term PM2.5 forecasting integrating multi-scale correlations and time-frequency dynamics
Existing approaches for long-term forecasting of typically focus either on time-domain or frequency-domain features in isolation, neglecting their complementary interactions. This limitation restricts their capacity to effectively capture long-term trends. Moreover, the absence of explicit modeling of multi-scale correlations among influencing factors under complex environmental conditions may undermine both the stability and accuracy of model predictions. To overcome these limitations, we introduce AirMamba, a novel deep learning framework designed to enhance long-term forecasting by integrating multi-scale correlation analysis with time-frequency interactions. Specifically, a multi-scale inter-variable correlations extractor module is developed to capture the complex interdependencies among variables across diverse temporal scales. The framework leverages the Maximum Overlap Discrete Wavelet Transform (MODWT) to decompose time series data into multi-scale high-frequency and low-frequency components, thereby facilitating a comprehensive time-frequency analysis. An enhanced bidirectional Mamba structure is then employed to model both long- and short-term dependencies within the time series, informed by the identified time-frequency interactions. Extensive experiments demonstrate that the proposed method achieves superior forecasting performance compared to existing mainstream models.
期刊介绍:
Expert Systems With Applications is an international journal dedicated to the exchange of information on expert and intelligent systems used globally in industry, government, and universities. The journal emphasizes original papers covering the design, development, testing, implementation, and management of these systems, offering practical guidelines. It spans various sectors such as finance, engineering, marketing, law, project management, information management, medicine, and more. The journal also welcomes papers on multi-agent systems, knowledge management, neural networks, knowledge discovery, data mining, and other related areas, excluding applications to military/defense systems.