中亚女性劳动力参与促进经济增长:来自回归和动态分析的证据

IF 1.5
Zebo Kuldasheva, Maaz Ahmad
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引用次数: 0

摘要

女性劳动力参与在推动一个国家各个部门的经济发展方面发挥着重要作用。先前的文献表明,增加女性劳动力参与有助于经济增长,但具体部门的影响尚不清楚。目前的研究通过分析总体和部门层面的女性就业来解决这一差距,重点关注1995年至2022年中亚经济体的农业、工业和服务业的经济增长。本研究结合了回归技术(包括汇集OLS、固定效应和随机效应模型)和动态分析方法,通过采用系统GMM模型解决了反向因果关系和内生性的关键问题。此外,本研究使用平稳性检验,包括Breitung和Das, IPS和Pesaran检验,揭示了一个混合的整合顺序。回归分析结果表明,女性劳动总参与率对经济增长有正向贡献,而腐败对经济增长有负向影响。具体部门分析结果显示,女性参与农业和服务业显著促进了经济增长,而参与工业部门则有不利影响。这些结果突出表明,有必要制定有针对性的政策,以提高女性劳动力在高增长部门的参与度,减轻工业部门的负面影响,并解决腐败问题。该研究对女性劳动力参与在塑造中亚经济增长中的作用提供了有价值的见解。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Empowering economic growth through female labor force participation in central Asia: Evidence from regression and dynamic analyses
Female labor force participation plays a significant role in driving the economic development of a country across various sectors. The previous literature suggests that increasing female labor force participation contributes to economic growth, the sector-specific impact remains unclear. The current study addresses this gap by analyzing female employment at both aggregate and sectoral levels, focusing on agriculture, industry, and services—on the economic growth of Central Asian economies from 1995 to 2022. Using a combination of regression techniques—including pooled OLS, fixed effects, and random effects models—and dynamic analytical approaches, the study addresses key issues of reverse causality and endogeneity through the adoption of the system GMM model. In addition, this study uses stationarity tests, including the Breitung and Das, IPS, and Pesaran tests, which reveal a mixed order of integration. The results of regression analysis show that total female labor force participation positively contributes to economic growth, while corruption negatively affects it. Sector-specific analysis result reveals that female participation in agriculture and services significantly enhances economic growth, whereas participation in the industrial sector has a detrimental impact. These results highlight the essential need for targeted policies to improve female labor force participation in high-growth sectors, mitigate the negative effects in the industrial sector, and address corruption. The study offers valuable insights into the role of female labor force participation in shaping economic growth in Central Asia.
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