Jacquelin Rankine, Alison Culyba, Robert W S Coulter, Elizabeth Miller, Galen Switzer, Erin Yoshida-Ehrmann, Guadalupe Arellano, Rebecca Dudovitz
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We aimed to identify distinct attendance trajectories across a 5-year period spanning the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic and examine the influence of school policies and practices related to school discipline and college readiness programming on these trajectories.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We analyzed administrative data from the 2016-2017 to 2020-2021 school years for 2,805 rising high school students (7<sup>th</sup> or 8<sup>th</sup> grade at baseline) at 5 Southern California schools participating in a randomized trial of the AVID college readiness program. We identified attendance trajectories using group-based trajectory modeling then estimated the influence of suspension and AVID participation by including these as time-varying covariates.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>We identified three attendance trajectory groups: stable high attendance (77.2%); acutely declining attendance (17.7%); chronically declining attendance (5.1%). Suspension was associated with decreasing attendance across all groups (stable high: β= -8.96; p < 0.0001; acutely declining: β= -12.00; p < 0.0001; chronically declining: β= -7.61; p = 0.025). AVID participation was associated with a small decrease in attendance in the stable high attendance group (β= -0.97; p = 0.025) and a larger increase in the acutely declining attendance group (β= 3.60; p = 0.015).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>These findings increase our understanding of the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on adolescents' school attendance. The health and educational impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic are not uniformly severe, and both tailored individual and universal school-level interventions are likely needed to support all youth to thrive.</p>","PeriodicalId":50930,"journal":{"name":"Academic Pediatrics","volume":" ","pages":"103147"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8000,"publicationDate":"2025-09-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"COVID-19 and High School Attendance: Modeling Latent Trajectories and the Influence of School Policies and Practices.\",\"authors\":\"Jacquelin Rankine, Alison Culyba, Robert W S Coulter, Elizabeth Miller, Galen Switzer, Erin Yoshida-Ehrmann, Guadalupe Arellano, Rebecca Dudovitz\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.acap.2025.103147\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>School attendance is important for adolescent and adult health but drastically decreased during the COVID-19 pandemic. 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引用次数: 0
摘要
目的:入学率对青少年和成人健康至关重要,但在2019冠状病毒病大流行期间,入学率大幅下降。我们的目的是确定跨越2019冠状病毒病大流行开始的5年期间的不同出勤轨迹,并研究与学校纪律和大学准备计划相关的学校政策和实践对这些轨迹的影响。方法:我们分析了参加AVID大学准备计划随机试验的南加州5所学校的2805名即将升学的高中生(基线为7年级或8年级)的2016-2017学年至2020-2021学年的行政数据。我们使用基于群体的轨迹模型确定出勤轨迹,然后通过将暂停和AVID参与作为时变协变量来估计其影响。结果:我们确定了三个出勤率轨迹组:稳定的高出勤率(77.2%);出勤率急剧下降(17.7%);出勤率长期下降(5.1%)。在所有组中,停课均与出勤率下降相关(稳定高:β= -8.96; p < 0.0001;急性下降:β= -12.00; p < 0.0001;慢性下降:β= -7.61; p = 0.025)。在稳定的高出勤率组中,AVID参与与出勤率的小幅下降相关(β= -0.97; p = 0.025),而在出勤率急剧下降的组中,AVID参与与出勤率的大幅下降相关(β= 3.60; p = 0.015)。结论:这些发现增加了我们对COVID-19大流行对青少年入学率影响的理解。COVID-19大流行对健康和教育的影响并不都很严重,可能需要有针对性的个人和普遍的学校干预措施,以支持所有青年茁壮成长。
COVID-19 and High School Attendance: Modeling Latent Trajectories and the Influence of School Policies and Practices.
Objective: School attendance is important for adolescent and adult health but drastically decreased during the COVID-19 pandemic. We aimed to identify distinct attendance trajectories across a 5-year period spanning the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic and examine the influence of school policies and practices related to school discipline and college readiness programming on these trajectories.
Methods: We analyzed administrative data from the 2016-2017 to 2020-2021 school years for 2,805 rising high school students (7th or 8th grade at baseline) at 5 Southern California schools participating in a randomized trial of the AVID college readiness program. We identified attendance trajectories using group-based trajectory modeling then estimated the influence of suspension and AVID participation by including these as time-varying covariates.
Results: We identified three attendance trajectory groups: stable high attendance (77.2%); acutely declining attendance (17.7%); chronically declining attendance (5.1%). Suspension was associated with decreasing attendance across all groups (stable high: β= -8.96; p < 0.0001; acutely declining: β= -12.00; p < 0.0001; chronically declining: β= -7.61; p = 0.025). AVID participation was associated with a small decrease in attendance in the stable high attendance group (β= -0.97; p = 0.025) and a larger increase in the acutely declining attendance group (β= 3.60; p = 0.015).
Conclusions: These findings increase our understanding of the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on adolescents' school attendance. The health and educational impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic are not uniformly severe, and both tailored individual and universal school-level interventions are likely needed to support all youth to thrive.
期刊介绍:
Academic Pediatrics, the official journal of the Academic Pediatric Association, is a peer-reviewed publication whose purpose is to strengthen the research and educational base of academic general pediatrics. The journal provides leadership in pediatric education, research, patient care and advocacy. Content areas include pediatric education, emergency medicine, injury, abuse, behavioral pediatrics, holistic medicine, child health services and health policy,and the environment. The journal provides an active forum for the presentation of pediatric educational research in diverse settings, involving medical students, residents, fellows, and practicing professionals. The journal also emphasizes important research relating to the quality of child health care, health care policy, and the organization of child health services. It also includes systematic reviews of primary care interventions and important methodologic papers to aid research in child health and education.