气候变化下黑海最重要的商业鱼类物种的现在和未来栖息地的变化

IF 6 3区环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Environmental Sciences Europe Pub Date : 2025-06-18 DOI:10.1186/s12302-025-01147-0

Serkan Gül, Yusuf Ceylan, Göktuğ Dalgıç

{"title":"气候变化下黑海最重要的商业鱼类物种的现在和未来栖息地的变化","authors":"Serkan Gül, Yusuf Ceylan, Göktuğ Dalgıç","doi":"10.1186/s12302-025-01147-0","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The Black Sea is unique due to its semi-enclosed area and anoxic layer. However, changes in ecosystem conditions due to climate change in recent years threaten the viability of fish populations. This study focuses on estimating the future distribution and habitat losses of commercial fish species in the Black Sea under climate change. The results reveal that the decline in suitable habitats for all species is reaches considerable levels in the 2030–2040 and 2090–2100 projections of both scenarios (SSP1–1.9 and SSP5–8.5). The future of the Black Sea ecosystem is under the threat of climate change. Countries and unions bordering the Black Sea should develop and implement a common management plan to control anthropogenic effects through international cooperation.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":546,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Sciences Europe","volume":"37 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.0000,"publicationDate":"2025-06-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1186/s12302-025-01147-0.pdf","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Present and future habitat shifts of the most important commercial fish species in the Black Sea under climate change\",\"authors\":\"Serkan Gül, Yusuf Ceylan, Göktuğ Dalgıç\",\"doi\":\"10.1186/s12302-025-01147-0\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p>The Black Sea is unique due to its semi-enclosed area and anoxic layer. However, changes in ecosystem conditions due to climate change in recent years threaten the viability of fish populations. This study focuses on estimating the future distribution and habitat losses of commercial fish species in the Black Sea under climate change. The results reveal that the decline in suitable habitats for all species is reaches considerable levels in the 2030–2040 and 2090–2100 projections of both scenarios (SSP1–1.9 and SSP5–8.5). The future of the Black Sea ecosystem is under the threat of climate change. Countries and unions bordering the Black Sea should develop and implement a common management plan to control anthropogenic effects through international cooperation.</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":546,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Environmental Sciences Europe\",\"volume\":\"37 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":6.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-06-18\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1186/s12302-025-01147-0.pdf\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Environmental Sciences Europe\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"93\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12302-025-01147-0\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"环境科学与生态学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Environmental Sciences Europe","FirstCategoryId":"93","ListUrlMain":"https://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12302-025-01147-0","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES","Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

摘要

黑海的独特之处在于它的半封闭区域和缺氧层。然而，近年来由于气候变化导致的生态系统条件的变化威胁着鱼类种群的生存能力。本文研究了气候变化对黑海商业鱼类未来分布和栖息地损失的影响。结果表明，在两种情景（SSP1-1.9和SSP5-8.5）的2030-2040和2090-2100预估中，所有物种的适宜生境都达到了相当程度的下降。黑海生态系统的未来正受到气候变化的威胁。黑海沿岸国家和联盟应制定和执行一项共同管理计划，通过国际合作控制人为影响。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

查看原文本刊更多论文

Present and future habitat shifts of the most important commercial fish species in the Black Sea under climate change

The Black Sea is unique due to its semi-enclosed area and anoxic layer. However, changes in ecosystem conditions due to climate change in recent years threaten the viability of fish populations. This study focuses on estimating the future distribution and habitat losses of commercial fish species in the Black Sea under climate change. The results reveal that the decline in suitable habitats for all species is reaches considerable levels in the 2030–2040 and 2090–2100 projections of both scenarios (SSP1–1.9 and SSP5–8.5). The future of the Black Sea ecosystem is under the threat of climate change. Countries and unions bordering the Black Sea should develop and implement a common management plan to control anthropogenic effects through international cooperation.

求助全文

通过发布文献求助，成功后即可免费获取论文全文。去求助

来源期刊

Environmental Sciences Europe Environmental Science-Pollution

CiteScore

11.20

自引率

1.70%

发文量

110

审稿时长

13 weeks

期刊介绍： ESEU is an international journal, focusing primarily on Europe, with a broad scope covering all aspects of environmental sciences, including the main topic regulation. ESEU will discuss the entanglement between environmental sciences and regulation because, in recent years, there have been misunderstandings and even disagreement between stakeholders in these two areas. ESEU will help to improve the comprehension of issues between environmental sciences and regulation. ESEU will be an outlet from the German-speaking (DACH) countries to Europe and an inlet from Europe to the DACH countries regarding environmental sciences and regulation. Moreover, ESEU will facilitate the exchange of ideas and interaction between Europe and the DACH countries regarding environmental regulatory issues. Although Europe is at the center of ESEU, the journal will not exclude the rest of the world, because regulatory issues pertaining to environmental sciences can be fully seen only from a global perspective.