中国、美国、日本和韩国气管、支气管和肺癌的pm2.5相关负担（1990-2021）

IF 2.4 3区医学 Q2 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH

International Journal of Public Health Pub Date : 2025-09-09 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI:10.3389/ijph.2025.1608392

Ruirui Zhang, Yang Zheng, Zheng Wang

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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的：在选定的国家量化可归因于颗粒物污染的气管、支气管和肺癌负担，从而为特定环境的公共卫生干预提供证据。方法：基于全球疾病负担（GBD） 2021数据，我们应用joinpoint分析了1990-2021年中国、美国、日本和韩国PM2.5导致的气管、支气管和肺部（TBL）癌症负担的时间趋势。利用年龄-时期-队列模型和贝叶斯分析，探讨了年龄、时期、队列效应，并预测了未来趋势。结果：在全球范围内，PM2.5暴露导致的TBL癌症的年龄标准化死亡率（ASMR）呈现下降趋势，从1990年到2021年的平均年百分比变化（AAPC）为1.2811，预测表明未来29年某些国家的ASMR将继续下降，但预计全球会增加。结论：研究表明，与PM2.5相关的支气管癌导致的死亡率负担在全球范围内有所下降。然而，未来的预测表明，与空气污染有关的TBL癌症的全球负担将会增加，因此迫切需要制定有效的公共卫生战略。

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PM2.5-Related Burden of Tracheal, Bronchial, and Lung Cancer in China, the United States, Japan, and South Korea (1990-2021).

Objectives: To quantify the tracheal, bronchial, and lung cancer burden attributable to particulate matter pollution in selected countries, and thereby provide evidence for context - specific public health interventions.

Methods: Based on Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 data,we appliedJoinPoint to analyze the temporal trends from 1990-2021 in the burden of PM2.5 - attributable tracheal, bronchial, and lung (TBL) cancer in China, the US, Japan, and South Korea. And we explored the age, period, cohort effects and predicted future trends using the age-period-cohort mode and Bayesian analysis.

Results: Globally, the age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) for TBL cancers due to PM2.5 exposure showed a declining trend with an average annual percentage change (AAPC) of-1.2811 from1990 to 2021, projections suggest continued decreases in ASMR in selected countries over the next 29 years, but a global increase is expected.

Conclusion: Studies have demonstrated a global decline in the mortality burden attributed to bronchogenic carcinoma linked to PM2.5. Nevertheless, future projections indicate that the global burden of air pollution-related TBL cancer will rise, effective public health strategies are urgent to develop.

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来源期刊

International Journal of Public Health 医学-公共卫生、环境卫生与职业卫生

CiteScore

4.20

自引率

2.20%

发文量

269

审稿时长

12 months

期刊介绍： The International Journal of Public Health publishes scientific articles relevant to global public health, from different countries and cultures, and assembles them into issues that raise awareness and understanding of public health problems and solutions. The Journal welcomes submissions of original research, critical and relevant reviews, methodological papers and manuscripts that emphasize theoretical content. IJPH sometimes publishes commentaries and opinions. Special issues highlight key areas of current research. The Editorial Board''s mission is to provide a thoughtful forum for contemporary issues and challenges in global public health research and practice.