Duong Thi Kim Chi , Ho Ngoc Trung Kien , Thanh Q. Nguyen
{"title":"利用实时数据增强外汇市场预测的特征增强多元LSTM模型","authors":"Duong Thi Kim Chi , Ho Ngoc Trung Kien , Thanh Q. Nguyen","doi":"10.1016/j.knosys.2025.114500","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study proposes a feature-augmented multivariate LSTM model for real-time Forex market forecasting. By incorporating engineered financial indicators—such as Close_Change, RSI, and gold price—alongside traditional OHLCV data, the model captures nonlinear temporal dynamics and macro-financial interactions. A sliding window approach structures input sequences for a stacked LSTM network optimized for short-term prediction. Experimental results on major currency pairs demonstrate that the proposed model outperforms baseline LSTM, GRU, and classical machine learning methods in RMSE, MAE, and MAPE metrics. Statistical validation using the Wilcoxon signed-rank test confirms the improvements are significant. The model's robustness under volatility stress and noisy inputs highlights its practical relevance for real-time decision-making. Potential extensions include incorporating news-based sentiment and multimodal signals to enhance adaptability.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":49939,"journal":{"name":"Knowledge-Based Systems","volume":"330 ","pages":"Article 114500"},"PeriodicalIF":7.6000,"publicationDate":"2025-09-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Enhancing forex market forecasting with feature-augmented multivariate LSTM models using real-time data\",\"authors\":\"Duong Thi Kim Chi , Ho Ngoc Trung Kien , Thanh Q. Nguyen\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.knosys.2025.114500\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>This study proposes a feature-augmented multivariate LSTM model for real-time Forex market forecasting. By incorporating engineered financial indicators—such as Close_Change, RSI, and gold price—alongside traditional OHLCV data, the model captures nonlinear temporal dynamics and macro-financial interactions. A sliding window approach structures input sequences for a stacked LSTM network optimized for short-term prediction. Experimental results on major currency pairs demonstrate that the proposed model outperforms baseline LSTM, GRU, and classical machine learning methods in RMSE, MAE, and MAPE metrics. Statistical validation using the Wilcoxon signed-rank test confirms the improvements are significant. The model's robustness under volatility stress and noisy inputs highlights its practical relevance for real-time decision-making. Potential extensions include incorporating news-based sentiment and multimodal signals to enhance adaptability.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":49939,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Knowledge-Based Systems\",\"volume\":\"330 \",\"pages\":\"Article 114500\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":7.6000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-09-17\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Knowledge-Based Systems\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"94\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0950705125015394\",\"RegionNum\":1,\"RegionCategory\":\"计算机科学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Knowledge-Based Systems","FirstCategoryId":"94","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0950705125015394","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"计算机科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
Enhancing forex market forecasting with feature-augmented multivariate LSTM models using real-time data
This study proposes a feature-augmented multivariate LSTM model for real-time Forex market forecasting. By incorporating engineered financial indicators—such as Close_Change, RSI, and gold price—alongside traditional OHLCV data, the model captures nonlinear temporal dynamics and macro-financial interactions. A sliding window approach structures input sequences for a stacked LSTM network optimized for short-term prediction. Experimental results on major currency pairs demonstrate that the proposed model outperforms baseline LSTM, GRU, and classical machine learning methods in RMSE, MAE, and MAPE metrics. Statistical validation using the Wilcoxon signed-rank test confirms the improvements are significant. The model's robustness under volatility stress and noisy inputs highlights its practical relevance for real-time decision-making. Potential extensions include incorporating news-based sentiment and multimodal signals to enhance adaptability.
期刊介绍:
Knowledge-Based Systems, an international and interdisciplinary journal in artificial intelligence, publishes original, innovative, and creative research results in the field. It focuses on knowledge-based and other artificial intelligence techniques-based systems. The journal aims to support human prediction and decision-making through data science and computation techniques, provide a balanced coverage of theory and practical study, and encourage the development and implementation of knowledge-based intelligence models, methods, systems, and software tools. Applications in business, government, education, engineering, and healthcare are emphasized.