风险承受能力、宅基地确认与农户宅基地退出意愿——来自江苏省6754户农户的证据

IF 7 1区经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES

Habitat International Pub Date : 2025-09-18 DOI:10.1016/j.habitatint.2025.103598

Shu Han , Guancheng Guo , Junjie Liu , Hao Sun

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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究探讨风险承担能力（RCC）和宅基地确认对农户宅基地退出意愿的影响。旨在为提高农村宅基地利用效率，促进乡村振兴提供理论和实践指导。采用二元logistic模型对农户退出意愿进行基线分析，采用阈值回归识别农户退出意愿的双阈值效应，构建调节效应模型，探讨宅基地确认在农户退出意愿影响中的作用。结果表明：(1)RCC对退出意愿存在显著的双阈值效应，阈值分别为45.64和65.83；低于第一个阈值，RCC负向影响退出意愿；在中等范围内，它正向影响退出意愿；超过第二个阈值，负面影响再次出现。(2)宅基地确权对退出意愿的影响存在显著差异。当RCC较低时，对产权的有限理解会对退出意愿产生抑制作用。在中等范围内，宅基地确权通过厘清产权界限和降低交易成本，显著提高退出意愿。当碾压面积较大时，宅基地确认的主要障碍是过度碾压面积的限制，宅基地确认的效果不显著。(3)宅基地确认显著调节RCC与退出意愿的关系。当RCC较低时，调节作用不显著；在中等范围内，宅基地确认增强了碾压混凝土的正向效应；RCC越高，其负面效应越强。建议政府建立多元化补偿机制，减轻农民退出时的经济压力；完善产权确认制度，保障农民权利；加强政策宣传教育，提高农民对农村宅基地改革的认识。

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Risk-carrying capacity, homestead confirmation, and farmers’ homestead withdrawal willingness: Evidence from 6754 rural households in Jiangsu Province

This study investigates the effect of risk-carrying capacity (RCC) and homestead confirmation on farmers' homestead withdrawal willingness. The aim is to provide theoretical and practical guidance to enhance the utilization efficiency of rural homesteads and promote rural revitalization. Using a binary logistic model, we conduct a baseline analysis of withdrawal willingness, employ threshold regression to identify the dual-threshold effect of RCC, and construct a moderation effect model to explore the role of homestead confirmation in RCC's effect on homestead withdrawal willingness. The findings are as follows: (1) RCC exhibits a significant dual-threshold effect on withdrawal willingness, with thresholds of 45.64 and 65.83. Below the first threshold, RCC negatively affects withdrawal willingness; in the moderate range, it positively affects withdrawal willingness; and above the second threshold, the negative effect reemerges. (2) There are significant differences in homestead confirmation's effect on withdrawal willingness. When RCC is low, a limited understanding of property rights results in a restraining effect on withdrawal willingness. In the moderate range, homestead confirmation significantly boosts withdrawal willingness by clarifying property boundaries and reducing transaction costs. When RCC is high, the main obstacle is the limitation imposed by excessive RCC, making the effect of homestead confirmation insignificant. (3) Homestead confirmation significantly moderates the relationship between RCC and withdrawal willingness. With low RCC, the moderating effect is insignificant; in the moderate range, homestead confirmation enhances the positive effect of RCC; and with high RCC, it enhances the negative effect. We recommend that the government establish a diversified compensation mechanism to alleviate economic pressure on farmers during withdrawal, improve the property rights confirmation system to protect farmers' rights, and enhance policy promotion and education to improve farmers' understanding of rural homestead reforms.

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来源期刊

Habitat International Multiple-

CiteScore

10.50

自引率

10.30%

发文量

151

审稿时长

38 days

期刊介绍： Habitat International is dedicated to the study of urban and rural human settlements: their planning, design, production and management. Its main focus is on urbanisation in its broadest sense in the developing world. However, increasingly the interrelationships and linkages between cities and towns in the developing and developed worlds are becoming apparent and solutions to the problems that result are urgently required. The economic, social, technological and political systems of the world are intertwined and changes in one region almost always affect other regions.