E.W. Dootjes , J.J. Willeumier , C.W.P.G. van der Wal , R.J.P. van der Wal , P. van der Zwaal , A. Leithner , A.A.M. van der Veldt , M. Fiocco , D.L.M. van Broekhoven , Y.M. van der Linden
{"title":"改良的OPTIModel伴少转移性疾病预测肾细胞癌伴症状性长骨转移患者总生存期","authors":"E.W. Dootjes , J.J. Willeumier , C.W.P.G. van der Wal , R.J.P. van der Wal , P. van der Zwaal , A. Leithner , A.A.M. van der Veldt , M. Fiocco , D.L.M. van Broekhoven , Y.M. van der Linden","doi":"10.1016/j.jbo.2025.100709","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Aims</h3><div>For patients with long bone metastasis (LBM), we have previously developed OPTIModel. In this study, we investigated whether the OPTIModel could be improved for patients with metastatic renal cell cancer (mRCC) by including oligometastatic bone metastases (OBM) as a risk factor.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>Patients with mRCC and symptomatic LBMs were included in a retrospective and prospective multicenter cohort. Bone metastases (BMs) were categorized as: solitary (SBM), limited BMs (2–4 BMs) or diffuse BMs (DBM; >4 BMs). OBM were defined as ≤ 4 BMs. Overall survival was estimated using Kaplan Meier method. Effect of risk factors on overall survival were assessed using multivariate Cox regression model. Based on these results, the OPTIModel was modified. To assess the discriminatory ability, Harrell’s C-statistic was used.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>178 patients were included. Overall, median overall survival was 12.1 months (95 % confidence interval (CI): 8.8–15.3). Median survival for SBM (n = 53, 29.8 %), limited BMs (n = 60, 33.7 %) and DBMs (n = 65, 36.5 %) was 19.6 months (95 %CI: 6.8–32.4), 14.8 months (95 %CI: 7.6–21.9) and 6.1 months (95 %CI: 2.7–9.5), respectively. Median survival was 16.3 months (95 %CI: 10.6–22.0) in patients with OBM (n = 113, 63.5 %), with a hazard ratio of 2.11 (95 %CI: 1.44–3.09) compared to patients with DBM. Including OBM in the OPTIModel for mRCC improved C-statistic from 0.585 (standard error (SE) = 0.027) to 0.618 (SE = 0.024).</div></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><div>Both SBM and limited BMs were associated with a longer overall survival in patients with mRCC and symptomatic LBMs. The modified OPTIModel for mRCC with inclusion of oligometastatic disease could guide decisions about local treatment of symptomatic LBMs.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48806,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Bone Oncology","volume":"55 ","pages":"Article 100709"},"PeriodicalIF":3.5000,"publicationDate":"2025-09-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Modified OPTIModel with oligometastatic disease for the prediction of overall survival of patients with renal cell cancer and symptomatic long bone metastases\",\"authors\":\"E.W. Dootjes , J.J. Willeumier , C.W.P.G. van der Wal , R.J.P. van der Wal , P. van der Zwaal , A. Leithner , A.A.M. van der Veldt , M. Fiocco , D.L.M. van Broekhoven , Y.M. van der Linden\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.jbo.2025.100709\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><h3>Aims</h3><div>For patients with long bone metastasis (LBM), we have previously developed OPTIModel. In this study, we investigated whether the OPTIModel could be improved for patients with metastatic renal cell cancer (mRCC) by including oligometastatic bone metastases (OBM) as a risk factor.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>Patients with mRCC and symptomatic LBMs were included in a retrospective and prospective multicenter cohort. Bone metastases (BMs) were categorized as: solitary (SBM), limited BMs (2–4 BMs) or diffuse BMs (DBM; >4 BMs). OBM were defined as ≤ 4 BMs. Overall survival was estimated using Kaplan Meier method. Effect of risk factors on overall survival were assessed using multivariate Cox regression model. Based on these results, the OPTIModel was modified. To assess the discriminatory ability, Harrell’s C-statistic was used.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>178 patients were included. Overall, median overall survival was 12.1 months (95 % confidence interval (CI): 8.8–15.3). Median survival for SBM (n = 53, 29.8 %), limited BMs (n = 60, 33.7 %) and DBMs (n = 65, 36.5 %) was 19.6 months (95 %CI: 6.8–32.4), 14.8 months (95 %CI: 7.6–21.9) and 6.1 months (95 %CI: 2.7–9.5), respectively. Median survival was 16.3 months (95 %CI: 10.6–22.0) in patients with OBM (n = 113, 63.5 %), with a hazard ratio of 2.11 (95 %CI: 1.44–3.09) compared to patients with DBM. Including OBM in the OPTIModel for mRCC improved C-statistic from 0.585 (standard error (SE) = 0.027) to 0.618 (SE = 0.024).</div></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><div>Both SBM and limited BMs were associated with a longer overall survival in patients with mRCC and symptomatic LBMs. The modified OPTIModel for mRCC with inclusion of oligometastatic disease could guide decisions about local treatment of symptomatic LBMs.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":48806,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Bone Oncology\",\"volume\":\"55 \",\"pages\":\"Article 100709\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":3.5000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-09-02\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Bone Oncology\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"3\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212137425000508\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"医学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"Medicine\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Bone Oncology","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212137425000508","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"Medicine","Score":null,"Total":0}
Modified OPTIModel with oligometastatic disease for the prediction of overall survival of patients with renal cell cancer and symptomatic long bone metastases
Aims
For patients with long bone metastasis (LBM), we have previously developed OPTIModel. In this study, we investigated whether the OPTIModel could be improved for patients with metastatic renal cell cancer (mRCC) by including oligometastatic bone metastases (OBM) as a risk factor.
Methods
Patients with mRCC and symptomatic LBMs were included in a retrospective and prospective multicenter cohort. Bone metastases (BMs) were categorized as: solitary (SBM), limited BMs (2–4 BMs) or diffuse BMs (DBM; >4 BMs). OBM were defined as ≤ 4 BMs. Overall survival was estimated using Kaplan Meier method. Effect of risk factors on overall survival were assessed using multivariate Cox regression model. Based on these results, the OPTIModel was modified. To assess the discriminatory ability, Harrell’s C-statistic was used.
Results
178 patients were included. Overall, median overall survival was 12.1 months (95 % confidence interval (CI): 8.8–15.3). Median survival for SBM (n = 53, 29.8 %), limited BMs (n = 60, 33.7 %) and DBMs (n = 65, 36.5 %) was 19.6 months (95 %CI: 6.8–32.4), 14.8 months (95 %CI: 7.6–21.9) and 6.1 months (95 %CI: 2.7–9.5), respectively. Median survival was 16.3 months (95 %CI: 10.6–22.0) in patients with OBM (n = 113, 63.5 %), with a hazard ratio of 2.11 (95 %CI: 1.44–3.09) compared to patients with DBM. Including OBM in the OPTIModel for mRCC improved C-statistic from 0.585 (standard error (SE) = 0.027) to 0.618 (SE = 0.024).
Conclusion
Both SBM and limited BMs were associated with a longer overall survival in patients with mRCC and symptomatic LBMs. The modified OPTIModel for mRCC with inclusion of oligometastatic disease could guide decisions about local treatment of symptomatic LBMs.
期刊介绍:
The Journal of Bone Oncology is a peer-reviewed international journal aimed at presenting basic, translational and clinical high-quality research related to bone and cancer.
As the first journal dedicated to cancer induced bone diseases, JBO welcomes original research articles, review articles, editorials and opinion pieces. Case reports will only be considered in exceptional circumstances and only when accompanied by a comprehensive review of the subject.
The areas covered by the journal include:
Bone metastases (pathophysiology, epidemiology, diagnostics, clinical features, prevention, treatment)
Preclinical models of metastasis
Bone microenvironment in cancer (stem cell, bone cell and cancer interactions)
Bone targeted therapy (pharmacology, therapeutic targets, drug development, clinical trials, side-effects, outcome research, health economics)
Cancer treatment induced bone loss (epidemiology, pathophysiology, prevention and management)
Bone imaging (clinical and animal, skeletal interventional radiology)
Bone biomarkers (clinical and translational applications)
Radiotherapy and radio-isotopes
Skeletal complications
Bone pain (mechanisms and management)
Orthopaedic cancer surgery
Primary bone tumours
Clinical guidelines
Multidisciplinary care
Keywords: bisphosphonate, bone, breast cancer, cancer, CTIBL, denosumab, metastasis, myeloma, osteoblast, osteoclast, osteooncology, osteo-oncology, prostate cancer, skeleton, tumour.