{"title":"车辙性能预测的双T模型集成数据增量和周期模式","authors":"Xingyi Zhu, Yanan Wu, Chao Wang, Yicong Hu, Luca Rosafalco, Stefano Mariani","doi":"10.1111/mice.70066","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Accurate rutting prediction is crucial for traffic safety and road maintenance, enabling timely interventions and cost‐effective strategies. Such prediction remains challenging, especially with limited data across road segments. As traditional methods struggle in the case of data scarcity and complexity, in this study, a Double‐T model is developed by merging TimeGAN and TimesNet. TimeGAN is used to augment the dataset from 2925 to 7578 records, while TimesNet is applied to capture multi‐scale periodic features. The model has achieved determination coefficients (<jats:italic>R</jats:italic><jats:sup>2</jats:sup>) of 0.939, 0.935, and 0.893 for the training, validation, and testing subsets of the dataset. Increasing the prediction intervals has led to a decline in the model performance. Comparative experiments demonstrate the superior performance of the Double‐T model over conventional regression models, pinpointing that key factors influencing rutting include pavement age, traffic load, pavement thickness and temperature.","PeriodicalId":156,"journal":{"name":"Computer-Aided Civil and Infrastructure Engineering","volume":"52 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":9.1000,"publicationDate":"2025-09-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"A Double‐T model for rutting performance prediction integrating data augmentation and periodic patterns\",\"authors\":\"Xingyi Zhu, Yanan Wu, Chao Wang, Yicong Hu, Luca Rosafalco, Stefano Mariani\",\"doi\":\"10.1111/mice.70066\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Accurate rutting prediction is crucial for traffic safety and road maintenance, enabling timely interventions and cost‐effective strategies. Such prediction remains challenging, especially with limited data across road segments. As traditional methods struggle in the case of data scarcity and complexity, in this study, a Double‐T model is developed by merging TimeGAN and TimesNet. TimeGAN is used to augment the dataset from 2925 to 7578 records, while TimesNet is applied to capture multi‐scale periodic features. The model has achieved determination coefficients (<jats:italic>R</jats:italic><jats:sup>2</jats:sup>) of 0.939, 0.935, and 0.893 for the training, validation, and testing subsets of the dataset. Increasing the prediction intervals has led to a decline in the model performance. Comparative experiments demonstrate the superior performance of the Double‐T model over conventional regression models, pinpointing that key factors influencing rutting include pavement age, traffic load, pavement thickness and temperature.\",\"PeriodicalId\":156,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Computer-Aided Civil and Infrastructure Engineering\",\"volume\":\"52 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":9.1000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-09-16\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Computer-Aided Civil and Infrastructure Engineering\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"5\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1111/mice.70066\",\"RegionNum\":1,\"RegionCategory\":\"工程技术\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Computer-Aided Civil and Infrastructure Engineering","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1111/mice.70066","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS","Score":null,"Total":0}
A Double‐T model for rutting performance prediction integrating data augmentation and periodic patterns
Accurate rutting prediction is crucial for traffic safety and road maintenance, enabling timely interventions and cost‐effective strategies. Such prediction remains challenging, especially with limited data across road segments. As traditional methods struggle in the case of data scarcity and complexity, in this study, a Double‐T model is developed by merging TimeGAN and TimesNet. TimeGAN is used to augment the dataset from 2925 to 7578 records, while TimesNet is applied to capture multi‐scale periodic features. The model has achieved determination coefficients (R2) of 0.939, 0.935, and 0.893 for the training, validation, and testing subsets of the dataset. Increasing the prediction intervals has led to a decline in the model performance. Comparative experiments demonstrate the superior performance of the Double‐T model over conventional regression models, pinpointing that key factors influencing rutting include pavement age, traffic load, pavement thickness and temperature.
期刊介绍:
Computer-Aided Civil and Infrastructure Engineering stands as a scholarly, peer-reviewed archival journal, serving as a vital link between advancements in computer technology and civil and infrastructure engineering. The journal serves as a distinctive platform for the publication of original articles, spotlighting novel computational techniques and inventive applications of computers. Specifically, it concentrates on recent progress in computer and information technologies, fostering the development and application of emerging computing paradigms.
Encompassing a broad scope, the journal addresses bridge, construction, environmental, highway, geotechnical, structural, transportation, and water resources engineering. It extends its reach to the management of infrastructure systems, covering domains such as highways, bridges, pavements, airports, and utilities. The journal delves into areas like artificial intelligence, cognitive modeling, concurrent engineering, database management, distributed computing, evolutionary computing, fuzzy logic, genetic algorithms, geometric modeling, internet-based technologies, knowledge discovery and engineering, machine learning, mobile computing, multimedia technologies, networking, neural network computing, optimization and search, parallel processing, robotics, smart structures, software engineering, virtual reality, and visualization techniques.