撒哈拉以南非洲地区提高入学率对整个经济的影响

IF 2.3 3区 教育学 Q1 EDUCATION & EDUCATIONAL RESEARCH
Zuhal Elnour , Khalid Siddig , Harald Grethe
{"title":"撒哈拉以南非洲地区提高入学率对整个经济的影响","authors":"Zuhal Elnour ,&nbsp;Khalid Siddig ,&nbsp;Harald Grethe","doi":"10.1016/j.ijedudev.2025.103390","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The high number of out-of-school youth in developing countries constitutes a pressing challenge with profound implications for attaining sustainable development. Sudan, for example, has the fifth-highest number globally while struggling with sluggish economic growth and high youth unemployment. In this study, we assess the potential economy-wide implications of options to enhance enrolment among youth by lowering private household spending on education and training services, taking Sudan as a case study. Cost reduction is considered for: a) primary education, b) secondary education, c) primary and secondary education, and d) all formal educational cycles and vocational training. We developed a recursive-dynamic single-country Computable General Equilibrium (STAGE-Edu) model that captures vocational training, secondary education by type (vocational and non-vocational), and education and training choices at different levels, with broad coverage of existing bridges between education and training. STAGE-Edu also establishes endogenous and consistent linkages between the educational and training system and the skill levels of the labour force through six-stage nested production functions. The findings suggest that cost reduction in primary education significantly reduces the number of out-of-school children and enhances long-term economic growth. However, it increases dropouts from post-primary education and vocational training. In contrast, cost reduction for both primary and secondary education improves enrolment in the tertiary education cycle and promotes the overall skill composition. Funding such cost reductions from foreign development aid and grants yields higher economic benefits than increasing domestic taxes.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48004,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Educational Development","volume":"118 ","pages":"Article 103390"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3000,"publicationDate":"2025-09-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Economy-wide implications of increasing school enrolment in Sub-Saharan Africa\",\"authors\":\"Zuhal Elnour ,&nbsp;Khalid Siddig ,&nbsp;Harald Grethe\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.ijedudev.2025.103390\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>The high number of out-of-school youth in developing countries constitutes a pressing challenge with profound implications for attaining sustainable development. Sudan, for example, has the fifth-highest number globally while struggling with sluggish economic growth and high youth unemployment. In this study, we assess the potential economy-wide implications of options to enhance enrolment among youth by lowering private household spending on education and training services, taking Sudan as a case study. Cost reduction is considered for: a) primary education, b) secondary education, c) primary and secondary education, and d) all formal educational cycles and vocational training. We developed a recursive-dynamic single-country Computable General Equilibrium (STAGE-Edu) model that captures vocational training, secondary education by type (vocational and non-vocational), and education and training choices at different levels, with broad coverage of existing bridges between education and training. STAGE-Edu also establishes endogenous and consistent linkages between the educational and training system and the skill levels of the labour force through six-stage nested production functions. The findings suggest that cost reduction in primary education significantly reduces the number of out-of-school children and enhances long-term economic growth. However, it increases dropouts from post-primary education and vocational training. In contrast, cost reduction for both primary and secondary education improves enrolment in the tertiary education cycle and promotes the overall skill composition. Funding such cost reductions from foreign development aid and grants yields higher economic benefits than increasing domestic taxes.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":48004,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"International Journal of Educational Development\",\"volume\":\"118 \",\"pages\":\"Article 103390\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":2.3000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-09-10\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"International Journal of Educational Development\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"95\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0738059325001889\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"教育学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"EDUCATION & EDUCATIONAL RESEARCH\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"International Journal of Educational Development","FirstCategoryId":"95","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0738059325001889","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"教育学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"EDUCATION & EDUCATIONAL RESEARCH","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

摘要

发展中国家失学青年人数众多是一项紧迫的挑战,对实现可持续发展具有深远影响。例如,苏丹在经济增长缓慢和青年失业率高企的情况下,自杀人数居全球第五位。在本研究中,我们以苏丹为例,评估了通过降低家庭在教育和培训服务方面的私人支出来提高青年入学率的各种选择的潜在经济影响。考虑降低以下方面的成本:a)初等教育,b)中等教育,c)初等和中等教育,以及d)所有正规教育周期和职业培训。我们开发了一个递归动态的单一国家可计算一般均衡(STAGE-Edu)模型,该模型捕捉了职业培训、中等教育的类型(职业和非职业),以及不同层次的教育和培训选择,广泛覆盖了教育和培训之间的现有桥梁。阶段教育还通过六个阶段嵌套的生产职能,在教育和培训制度与劳动力的技能水平之间建立内生的和连贯的联系。研究结果表明,初等教育成本的降低显著减少了失学儿童的数量,并促进了长期经济增长。然而,它增加了小学后教育和职业培训的辍学率。相比之下,初等和中等教育成本的降低提高了高等教育周期的入学率,促进了整体技能构成。从外国发展援助和赠款中为这种成本削减提供资金比增加国内税收产生更高的经济效益。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Economy-wide implications of increasing school enrolment in Sub-Saharan Africa
The high number of out-of-school youth in developing countries constitutes a pressing challenge with profound implications for attaining sustainable development. Sudan, for example, has the fifth-highest number globally while struggling with sluggish economic growth and high youth unemployment. In this study, we assess the potential economy-wide implications of options to enhance enrolment among youth by lowering private household spending on education and training services, taking Sudan as a case study. Cost reduction is considered for: a) primary education, b) secondary education, c) primary and secondary education, and d) all formal educational cycles and vocational training. We developed a recursive-dynamic single-country Computable General Equilibrium (STAGE-Edu) model that captures vocational training, secondary education by type (vocational and non-vocational), and education and training choices at different levels, with broad coverage of existing bridges between education and training. STAGE-Edu also establishes endogenous and consistent linkages between the educational and training system and the skill levels of the labour force through six-stage nested production functions. The findings suggest that cost reduction in primary education significantly reduces the number of out-of-school children and enhances long-term economic growth. However, it increases dropouts from post-primary education and vocational training. In contrast, cost reduction for both primary and secondary education improves enrolment in the tertiary education cycle and promotes the overall skill composition. Funding such cost reductions from foreign development aid and grants yields higher economic benefits than increasing domestic taxes.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
International Journal of Educational Development
International Journal of Educational Development EDUCATION & EDUCATIONAL RESEARCH-
CiteScore
4.20
自引率
12.00%
发文量
106
审稿时长
40 days
期刊介绍: The purpose of the International Journal of Educational Development is to foster critical debate about the role that education plays in development. IJED seeks both to develop new theoretical insights into the education-development relationship and new understandings of the extent and nature of educational change in diverse settings. It stresses the importance of understanding the interplay of local, national, regional and global contexts and dynamics in shaping education and development. Orthodox notions of development as being about growth, industrialisation or poverty reduction are increasingly questioned. There are competing accounts that stress the human dimensions of development.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:604180095
Book学术官方微信