Ro-Pax船舶航行安全动态风险评估方法综述

ce/papers Pub Date : 2025-09-05 DOI:10.1002/cepa.3348
Maciej Gucma, Przemysław Jabłoński
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引用次数: 0

摘要

基于多种方法的动态风险评估是提高船舶航行安全的重要组成部分。本文重点综述了适用于Ro-Pax容器的各种DRA方法。一篇文献综述研究了不同的DRA关键技术,包括模糊逻辑、贝叶斯网络、实时数据分析、机器学习、物联网和态势感知,评估了它们管理支持决策模型的能力。先进技术的整合提高了风险评估的准确性和响应能力。模糊逻辑允许有效地管理不精确的数据,而贝叶斯网络允许基于实时输入的动态更新。机器学习通过预测导航数据模式的威胁来提高操作效率。不同DRA方法的不断发展和融合,可以显著提高各类船舶的航行安全性。采用这些方法有助于船舶经营人加强风险评估。未来的研究应侧重于开发结合多种DRA技术的混合模型,以提高导航安全决策能力。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Review of Dynamic Risk Assessment Methods for Navigation Safety of Ro-Pax Vessels

Dynamic Risk Assessment (DRA) which could be based on various methods might be key component to improve the navigation safety of the vessel. This paper is focused on review of various DRA methodologies applicable to Ro-Pax vessels. A literature review examined different key DRA techniques, including Fuzzy Logic, Bayesian Networks, Real-time Data Analytics, Machine Learning, IoT and Situational Awareness, evaluating their ability to manage support decision-making model. The integration of advanced techniques enhances the accuracy and responsiveness of risk assessments. Fuzzy Logic allows to effectively manage imprecise data, while Bayesian Networks enable dynamic updates based on real-time inputs. Machine Learning improves operational efficiency by predicting threats from navigational data patterns. Continuous evolution and integration of different DRA methods can significantly improve safety of navigation for all types of vessels. Adopting these approaches helps ship's operators enhance risk assessment. Future research should focus on developing hybrid models that combine multiple DRA techniques to enhance decision-making in navigation safety.

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