加强风险沟通:可视化定量风险和可靠性的交互式和网络托管工具

ce/papers Pub Date : 2025-09-05 DOI:10.1002/cepa.3335
Paul-Remo Wagner, Matthias Schubert
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引用次数: 0

摘要

向非专家传达风险和可靠性指标是很困难的,因为概率和预期的货币损失往往远远超出日常直觉。本文着眼于交互式网络托管工具,通过比较现有的三种工具来提取设计指南,以缓解这一问题:空间应用可靠性预测的数字手册,老化结构的云检查规划应用程序,以及市政火灾风险平台。每个工具都会根据六个反复出现的主题进行评估:可视化、交互性、可访问性、可维护性、游戏化、个性化。调查结果显示,丰富的图形和直接的参数控制是提高用户粘性的关键,而响应式web交付和自动版本控制则可以保持分析的时效性和可追溯性。轻游戏化提示(进度条)和上下文感知内容(本地响应时间)进一步激励用户,但必须谨慎使用,以保护可信度和隐私。我们概述了从可搜索的数字手册到参数驱动计算器再到以地图为中心的仪表板的进化路径,并展示了精心设计的交互性将静态风险报告转化为探索性工具,从而在不同的工程领域实现真正的风险知情决策。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Enhancing Risk Communication: Interactive and Web-Hosted Tools for Visualising Quantitative Risk and Reliability

Conveying risk and reliability metrics to non-experts is hard because probabilities and expected monetary losses often lie far outside everyday intuition. This paper looks at interactive web-hosted tools as a means to alleviate this problem by comparing three existing tools to distil design guidance: a digital handbook for reliability predictions in space applications, a cloud inspection-planning app for deteriorating structures, and a municipal fire-risk platform. Each tool is evaluated against six recurrent themes: visualisation, interactivity, accessibility, maintainability, gamification, personalisation. Findings show that rich graphics plus direct parameter control are the entry ticket for engagement, while responsive web delivery and automated versioning keep analyses current and traceable. Light gamified cues (progress bars) and context-aware content (local response times) further motivate users but must be applied sparingly to preserve credibility and privacy. We outline an evolutionary path from searchable digital handbooks through parameter-driven calculators to map-centred dashboards and demonstrate that well-crafted interactivity transforms static risk reports into exploratory tools that enable genuinely risk-informed decisions across diverse engineering domains.

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