Rawiyah Muneer Alraddadi, Mohamed Abd Allah El-Hadidy, Qin Shao, Qu Xianggui, Sadik Khuder
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Forecasting mortality rates in hyponatremia: a statistical approach using Holt-Winters models.
Hyponatremia, characterized by a serum sodium concentration below 135 mEq/L, is a prevalent electrolyte imbalance associated with increased morbidity and mortality across various clinical conditions. This study employs the Holt-Winters seasonal method, a robust time series forecasting model, to predict mortality rates attributed to hyponatremia. Leveraging retrospective mortality data from a cohort of hospitals in the United States, our analysis aims to elucidate temporal patterns and trends in hyponatremia-related deaths. The findings underscore the critical role of statistical forecasting in healthcare, facilitating proactive resource allocation and targeted interventions to mitigate mortality risks associated with electrolyte imbalances. Integrating predictive analytics into clinical practice holds promise for enhancing patient care and optimizing health outcomes in populations vulnerable to hyponatremia-related complications.
期刊介绍:
The International Journal of Biostatistics (IJB) seeks to publish new biostatistical models and methods, new statistical theory, as well as original applications of statistical methods, for important practical problems arising from the biological, medical, public health, and agricultural sciences with an emphasis on semiparametric methods. Given many alternatives to publish exist within biostatistics, IJB offers a place to publish for research in biostatistics focusing on modern methods, often based on machine-learning and other data-adaptive methodologies, as well as providing a unique reading experience that compels the author to be explicit about the statistical inference problem addressed by the paper. IJB is intended that the journal cover the entire range of biostatistics, from theoretical advances to relevant and sensible translations of a practical problem into a statistical framework. Electronic publication also allows for data and software code to be appended, and opens the door for reproducible research allowing readers to easily replicate analyses described in a paper. Both original research and review articles will be warmly received, as will articles applying sound statistical methods to practical problems.