一个决策支持框架使用修剪树分析质量评估的农产品

Wilma Latuny , Victor Oryon Lawalata , Geovanny Branchiny Imasuly
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引用次数: 0

摘要

海藻是一种全球重要的水产养殖商品,其经济和环境重要性日益增加。然而,不一致的质量标准和主观的采购做法继续阻碍其价值链的效率,特别是对于干燥的真麒麟海藻。本研究提出了一个决策支持系统,该系统应用C4.5决策树算法,通过六种修剪技术进行增强,用于对非正式市场环境下的海藻质量进行分类并指导购买决策。编制了259个条目的数据集,捕获了9个关键的质量属性。该数据集用于开发和评估修剪后的决策树模型,该模型将海藻样本分配到两个采购类别之一:有价值或不可行。采用阈值、成本复杂度、减少误差、悲观误差、临界值和最小剪枝六种剪枝方法对模型性能进行评价。其中,阈值和成本复杂度修剪在保持模型可解释性和最小化过拟合的同时,产生了最高的分类准确率,达到63.4%。影响最大的是干燥时间、水分含量和价格,而其他特征的影响可以忽略不计。通过自举进行验证,确认模型在抽样变化中的稳健性。最终的模型在基于web的界面中实现,使用可解释的人工智能来支持买家和供应链利益相关者的实时、透明决策。尽管目前的特征集和单一分类器的使用存在局限性,但该系统为农业-海洋环境中基于质量的采购提供了实用和可解释的工具。未来的研究将致力于通过结合环境数据、基于图像的分级、生化分析和探索集成方法来提高预测性能。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A decision support framework using pruned trees for analytical quality assessment in agri-marine products
Seaweed is a globally significant aquaculture commodity with increasing economic and environmental importance. However, inconsistent quality standards and subjective procurement practices continue to hinder efficiency in its value chain, particularly for dried Eucheuma seaweed. This study presents a decision support system that applies the C4.5 decision tree algorithm, enhanced through six pruning techniques, to classify seaweed quality and guide purchasing decisions in informal market settings. A dataset of 259 entries was compiled, capturing nine key quality attributes. This dataset was used to develop and evaluate a pruned decision tree model that assigns seaweed samples to one of two procurement classes: worthy or not feasible. Model performance was evaluated using six pruning methods: threshold, cost complexity, reduced error, pessimistic error, critical value, and minimum number pruning. Among these, threshold and cost complexity pruning produced the highest classification accuracy at 63.4%, while maintaining model interpretability and minimizing overfitting. The most influential attributes were drying time, moisture content, and price, while the remaining features had a negligible impact. Validation was conducted through bootstrapping, confirming model robustness across sampling variations. The final model was implemented in a web-based interface using explainable artificial intelligence to support real-time, transparent decision-making for buyers and supply chain stakeholders. Despite limitations in the current feature set and the use of a single classifier, the system offers a practical and interpretable tool for quality-based procurement in agri-marine environments. Future research will aim to improve predictive performance by incorporating environmental data, image-based grading, biochemical profiling, and exploring ensemble methods.
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