利用双门时空关注网络实现准确高效的天气预报

IF 8 2区 计算机科学 Q1 AUTOMATION & CONTROL SYSTEMS
Zongwei Zhang, Lianlei Lin, Sheng Gao, Junkai Wang, Hanqing Zhao
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引用次数: 0

摘要

准确的天气预报在保障人类活动、减轻极端气候事件风险以及支持环境政策和备灾方面发挥着至关重要的作用。然而,现有的数据驱动方法往往难以有效地模拟气象系统中固有的复杂时空动态和多变量依赖关系,从而限制了它们的可靠性和可扩展性。为了解决这些挑战,我们提出了一种用于多变量天气预报的新型双门时空注意网络(DSANet)。DSANet集成了一个卷积自关注混合模块,用于联合捕获局部和全局空间特征,以及一个双门控通道时间模块,用于模拟时间模式和变量间关系。为了提高波动和动态天气区的预报精度,引入了小波制导的复合损失函数。在全球和区域数据集上进行的大量实验表明,DSANet在精度方面优于基线模型,在3天的全球温度预报中平均绝对误差为1.78 K。此外,DSANet表现出强大的泛化和快速推理,使其非常适合实时和非现场预测。通过显著提高多变量天气预报的准确性、效率和可转移性,DSANet为下一代气候情报和决策支持系统提供了可扩展和有效的工具。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Toward accurate and efficient weather prediction using a dual-gated spatiotemporal attention network
Accurate weather forecasting plays a vital role in safeguarding human activities, mitigating the risks of extreme climate events, and supporting environmental policy and disaster preparedness. However, existing data-driven approaches often struggle to effectively model the complex spatiotemporal dynamics and multivariate dependencies inherent in meteorological systems, limiting their reliability and scalability. To address these challenges, we propose a novel dual-gated spatiotemporal attention network (DSANet) for multivariate weather prediction. DSANet integrates a convolutional self-attention hybrid module to jointly capture local and global spatial features, and a dual-gated channel-time module to model temporal patterns and inter-variable relationships. A wavelet-guided composite loss function is introduced to enhance prediction accuracy in fluctuating and dynamic weather regions. Extensive experiments on both global and regional datasets demonstrate that DSANet outperforms baseline models in terms of accuracy, with a mean absolute error of 1.78 K in 3-day lead-time global temperature forecasting. In addition, DSANet exhibits strong generalization and fast inference, making it well-suited for real-time and off-site forecasting. By significantly improving the accuracy, efficiency, and transferability of multivariate weather forecasting, DSANet provides a scalable and effective tool for next-generation climate intelligence and decision-making support systems.
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来源期刊
Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence
Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence 工程技术-工程:电子与电气
CiteScore
9.60
自引率
10.00%
发文量
505
审稿时长
68 days
期刊介绍: Artificial Intelligence (AI) is pivotal in driving the fourth industrial revolution, witnessing remarkable advancements across various machine learning methodologies. AI techniques have become indispensable tools for practicing engineers, enabling them to tackle previously insurmountable challenges. Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence serves as a global platform for the swift dissemination of research elucidating the practical application of AI methods across all engineering disciplines. Submitted papers are expected to present novel aspects of AI utilized in real-world engineering applications, validated using publicly available datasets to ensure the replicability of research outcomes. Join us in exploring the transformative potential of AI in engineering.
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