可持续大规模测试的政策路线图。

IF 2.7
Health affairs scholar Pub Date : 2025-07-29 eCollection Date: 2025-08-01 DOI:10.1093/haschl/qxaf151
Sergey N Krylov, Svetlana M Krylova, An T H Le, Seyed M Moghadas, Amin Mawani, Nima Tabatabaei, Manos Papagelis, Peter Tsasis, Mary E Wiktorowicz, R Shayna Rosenbaum
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在大流行期间,通过负担得起的自我检测在人群中进行大规模检测可以大大减少生命损失,并最大限度地减少经济和社会成本,特别是如果在接种疫苗之前进行检测。然而,在2019冠状病毒病期间,自检制造和分发能力的发展落后于疫苗的推出,一旦疫情消退,就会被拆除,使我们回到大流行前的状态。由于没有获得新的产能,未来的大规模测试将再次面临代价高昂的延误。为了减轻这种风险,我们提出了一项政策路线图,以建立一种经济上可行的大规模测试系统,该系统可以在危机期间维持,并在紧急情况下迅速扩大规模。对研发进行公共投资,以提高可负担得起的自我检测的灵敏度——不是为了达到单一的基准,而是为了在医疗和非医疗应用中推进需求点技术——是必不可少的。灵敏度的提高将使日常健康检查、食品安全和环境监测有新的用途,从而产生稳定的需求和可根据需要扩大的生产能力。这种需求将支持一个由四个相辅相成的支柱支撑的强大系统:可扩展制造、实时数据基础设施、预测分析和可持续融资。优先考虑敏感性可以将大规模检测从一种反应性措施转变为持久的公共卫生基础。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A policy roadmap for sustainable mass-testing.

Population-wide mass testing with affordable self-tests can drastically reduce lives lost and minimize economic and societal costs during pandemics, especially if deployed before vaccines. During COVID-19, however, the development of self-test manufacturing and distribution capacity lagged behind vaccine rollout and was dismantled once surges subsided, returning us to a prepandemic state. As no new capacity has since been secured, future mass-testing would again face costly delays. To mitigate this risk, we propose a policy roadmap for an economically viable mass-testing system that can be sustained between crises and rapidly scaled during emergencies. Public investment in R&D to improve the sensitivity of affordable self-tests-not to achieve a single benchmark, but to advance point-of-need technologies across medical and nonmedical applications-is essential. Improved sensitivity would enable new uses in routine health screening, food safety, and environmental monitoring, generating steady demand and production capacity that can expand as needed. This demand would support a robust system anchored by four mutually reinforcing pillars: scalable manufacturing, real-time data infrastructure, predictive analytics, and sustainable financing. Prioritizing sensitivity can transform mass testing from a reactive measure into a durable public health foundation.

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