核能发电的潜在国产化策略和战略工具

IF 3.2 3区 工程技术 Q1 NUCLEAR SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY
Ahmet Ege
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引用次数: 0

摘要

部署正确的策略是至关重要的,并且在实现本地化的技术转移中起着关键作用。今天,大约有30个国家正在考虑或着手核电项目。核电技术国产化的潜在策略是什么?本研究试图确定核技术的本地化策略,并揭示经过测试的方法、商业模式、战略法律和技术工具。该研究的方法将国家的核工业视为一个“单位”,其中实施了PEST分析的变化,以揭示宏观环境因素,然后进行SWOT分析,以确定可用方法,商业模式,法律和技术工具的优势,劣势,机会和威胁。出现了四种主要策略:(1)边做边学;(二)转让、采用、同化、发展和出口;(三)拥有或者有限转让经营;(4)等着瞧。前两种策略是为那些愿意启动雄心勃勃的核电计划的国家提出的。在那些优先考虑供应安全、可靠的基本负荷来源、一般经济发展、技术和合格人力资源开发的国家,可以采用拥有或有限转让战略。对于那些等待新技术取得进展或逐步淘汰核电但计划在未来重新引入核电的国家来说,观望战略是很方便的。无论选择何种战略,必须部署明智的指导政策和一套连贯的行动,以便成功地吸收和获得核技术的设计、制造和建造、项目工程和项目管理。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Potential localization strategies and strategic instruments in nuclear power generation
Deploying the right strategies is of paramount importance and plays a key role in technology transfer to achieve localization. Today, around 30 countries are considering or embarking on nuclear power programs. What are the potential strategies for nuclear power technology localization? This study attempts to identify localization strategies in nuclear technology and also to unfold tested approaches, business models, strategic legal and technical instruments. The methodology of the study treats the nuclear industry in a state as a “unit” in which a variation of PEST analysis is implemented to reveal macro-environmental factors followed by SWOT analysis to identify strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats of available approaches, business models, legal and technical instruments. Four principal strategies emerge: (1) learning by doing; (2) transfer, adopt, assimilate, develop and export; (3) own or operate with limited transfer; and (4) wait and see. The first two strategies are proposed for the countries willing to launch an ambitious nuclear power program. Own or operate with limited transfer strategy can be deployed in those countries prioritizing security of supply, source of reliable base load generation, general economic development, technological and qualified human resources development. Wait and see strategy is convenient for those countries awaiting progress of new technologies or phased out nuclear power but planning to reintroduce it in the future. Regardless of the strategy selected, wise guiding policies and coherent set of actions must be deployed for a successful assimilation and acquisition of the design, manufacturing and construction, project engineering and project management in nuclear technology.
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来源期刊
Progress in Nuclear Energy
Progress in Nuclear Energy 工程技术-核科学技术
CiteScore
5.30
自引率
14.80%
发文量
331
审稿时长
3.5 months
期刊介绍: Progress in Nuclear Energy is an international review journal covering all aspects of nuclear science and engineering. In keeping with the maturity of nuclear power, articles on safety, siting and environmental problems are encouraged, as are those associated with economics and fuel management. However, basic physics and engineering will remain an important aspect of the editorial policy. Articles published are either of a review nature or present new material in more depth. They are aimed at researchers and technically-oriented managers working in the nuclear energy field. Please note the following: 1) PNE seeks high quality research papers which are medium to long in length. Short research papers should be submitted to the journal Annals in Nuclear Energy. 2) PNE reserves the right to reject papers which are based solely on routine application of computer codes used to produce reactor designs or explain existing reactor phenomena. Such papers, although worthy, are best left as laboratory reports whereas Progress in Nuclear Energy seeks papers of originality, which are archival in nature, in the fields of mathematical and experimental nuclear technology, including fission, fusion (blanket physics, radiation damage), safety, materials aspects, economics, etc. 3) Review papers, which may occasionally be invited, are particularly sought by the journal in these fields.
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