环境污染人畜钩端螺旋体病的随机数学模型分析

IF 1.7 4区 物理与天体物理 Q2 PHYSICS, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
Gul Khan, Abdelaziz Hendy, Rasha Kadri Ibrahim, Sally Mohammed Farghaly Abdelaliem, Ahmed Hendy
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究利用神经网络建立随机数学模型,探讨污染环境对钩端螺旋体病的影响。首先,我们证明了该解决方案是全局存在的,并且仍然是正的。其次,我们确定关键的随机繁殖数,这将决定该疾病是持续存在还是从种群中灭绝。如果\({R}_{0}^{s}<1\),那么这种疾病将从人口中消失。如果\({R}_{0}^{s}>1\),这种疾病继续在人群中持续存在。使用数值模拟,钩端螺旋体病在人类种群和动物的动态检查。模拟表明,受污染的环境在钩端螺旋体病的传播中起着关键作用,从而增加了疾病的传播。同时,治疗对控制疾病起着至关重要的作用。这突出了受污染环境对疾病管理的极端重要性。此外,利用神经网络(nn)改进疾病动力学的仿真和验证。公共卫生战略家可以利用这项研究的结果来减少或消除钩端螺旋体病感染。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Analysis of Leptospirosis Disease with Contaminated Environment in Human and Animal Population via Stochastic Mathematical Model

Analysis of Leptospirosis Disease with Contaminated Environment in Human and Animal Population via Stochastic Mathematical Model

Analysis of Leptospirosis Disease with Contaminated Environment in Human and Animal Population via Stochastic Mathematical Model

This study investigates the impact of contaminated environment on leptospirosis disease using stochastic mathematical models through neural networks. Initially, we demonstrate that the solution exists globally and remains positive. Secondly, we determine the key stochastic reproduction number that will determine whether the disease persists or extinct from the population. If \({R}_{0}^{s}<1\), then the disease will die out from the population. And if \({R}_{0}^{s}>1\), the disease continues to persist in the population. Using numerical simulations, the dynamics of leptospirosis within both human populations and animals was examined. Simulations showed that a contaminated environment plays a critical role in the spread of leptospirosis, thereby increases the disease’s transmission. Meanwhile, treating the disease plays a critical role in controlling it. This highlights the critical importance of a contaminated environment in disease management. Furthermore, neural networks (NNs) were utilized to improve the simulation and validation of disease dynamics. Public health strategists can use the findings of this study to reduce or eliminate leptospirosis infection.

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来源期刊
Brazilian Journal of Physics
Brazilian Journal of Physics 物理-物理:综合
CiteScore
2.50
自引率
6.20%
发文量
189
审稿时长
6.0 months
期刊介绍: The Brazilian Journal of Physics is a peer-reviewed international journal published by the Brazilian Physical Society (SBF). The journal publishes new and original research results from all areas of physics, obtained in Brazil and from anywhere else in the world. Contents include theoretical, practical and experimental papers as well as high-quality review papers. Submissions should follow the generally accepted structure for journal articles with basic elements: title, abstract, introduction, results, conclusions, and references.
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