{"title":"基于变分贝叶斯的屏蔽数据分析","authors":"Himanshu Rai , Sanjeev K. Tomer","doi":"10.1016/j.jocs.2025.102690","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Bayesian competing risks analysis in presence of masked data often leads to an intractable posterior, for which Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are frequently utilized to evaluate various estimators of interest. However, while analyzing several risks simultaneously, MCMC methods may consume substantial amount of computation time. This paper introduces Variational Bayes, a machine learning technique, as an efficient alternative to MCMC for Bayesian analysis of competing risk data. Variational Bayes demonstrates faster convergence than MCMC, particularly in the context of extensive competing risk datasets. We compare the performance of variational Bayes over Gibbs sampling with respect to the number of considered risks through a simulation study. Additionally, we apply the two methods to analyze a real data set of computer hard drives.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48907,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Computational Science","volume":"91 ","pages":"Article 102690"},"PeriodicalIF":3.7000,"publicationDate":"2025-08-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Variational Bayes for analysis of masked data\",\"authors\":\"Himanshu Rai , Sanjeev K. Tomer\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.jocs.2025.102690\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>Bayesian competing risks analysis in presence of masked data often leads to an intractable posterior, for which Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are frequently utilized to evaluate various estimators of interest. However, while analyzing several risks simultaneously, MCMC methods may consume substantial amount of computation time. This paper introduces Variational Bayes, a machine learning technique, as an efficient alternative to MCMC for Bayesian analysis of competing risk data. Variational Bayes demonstrates faster convergence than MCMC, particularly in the context of extensive competing risk datasets. We compare the performance of variational Bayes over Gibbs sampling with respect to the number of considered risks through a simulation study. Additionally, we apply the two methods to analyze a real data set of computer hard drives.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":48907,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Computational Science\",\"volume\":\"91 \",\"pages\":\"Article 102690\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":3.7000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-08-08\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Computational Science\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"94\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S187775032500167X\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"计算机科学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Computational Science","FirstCategoryId":"94","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S187775032500167X","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"计算机科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS","Score":null,"Total":0}
Bayesian competing risks analysis in presence of masked data often leads to an intractable posterior, for which Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are frequently utilized to evaluate various estimators of interest. However, while analyzing several risks simultaneously, MCMC methods may consume substantial amount of computation time. This paper introduces Variational Bayes, a machine learning technique, as an efficient alternative to MCMC for Bayesian analysis of competing risk data. Variational Bayes demonstrates faster convergence than MCMC, particularly in the context of extensive competing risk datasets. We compare the performance of variational Bayes over Gibbs sampling with respect to the number of considered risks through a simulation study. Additionally, we apply the two methods to analyze a real data set of computer hard drives.
期刊介绍:
Computational Science is a rapidly growing multi- and interdisciplinary field that uses advanced computing and data analysis to understand and solve complex problems. It has reached a level of predictive capability that now firmly complements the traditional pillars of experimentation and theory.
The recent advances in experimental techniques such as detectors, on-line sensor networks and high-resolution imaging techniques, have opened up new windows into physical and biological processes at many levels of detail. The resulting data explosion allows for detailed data driven modeling and simulation.
This new discipline in science combines computational thinking, modern computational methods, devices and collateral technologies to address problems far beyond the scope of traditional numerical methods.
Computational science typically unifies three distinct elements:
• Modeling, Algorithms and Simulations (e.g. numerical and non-numerical, discrete and continuous);
• Software developed to solve science (e.g., biological, physical, and social), engineering, medicine, and humanities problems;
• Computer and information science that develops and optimizes the advanced system hardware, software, networking, and data management components (e.g. problem solving environments).