估计道路交通事故的安全价值:一个关于外卖骑手路线选择的陈述偏好实验

IF 7.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY
Kuldeep Kavta , Shadi Sharif Azadeh , Yousef Maknoon , Yihong Wang , Gonçalo Homem de Almeida Correia
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在线外卖行业的快速发展导致城市街道上的外卖骑手数量大幅增加,主要使用自行车和电动自行车。伴随这种增长而来的是涉及这些乘客的交通事故的增加,这给城市当局和政策制定者带来了严峻的挑战。提倡更安全的骑行行为,比如在送餐时选择更安全的路线,可以潜在地降低撞车风险。基于这一动机,本文旨在评估鼓励乘客选择更安全路线的策略的有效性,并估计乘客对降低道路碰撞风险的价值。这篇论文提出了一项针对阿姆斯特丹和哥本哈根送餐骑手的偏好实验,以评估两种有针对性的策略:“安全信息”和“金钱激励”,旨在鼓励骑手选择更安全的路线。路线选择模型的结果表明,在不同的路线上提供安全防范碰撞的信息,并提供金钱奖励,可以有效地激励乘客选择更安全的路线,即使这些路线更长。通过计算风险降低值(VRR)和接受意愿(WTA)指标,量化了乘客在更安全和更短路线之间的权衡,这为乘客的安全偏好提供了有价值的见解。这些指标突出了乘客对降低风险和选择更安全路线所需补偿的重视程度。此外,研究结果显示,与乘客的工作安排和社会人口特征相关的因素显著影响他们的路线选择决策。本文最后讨论了与实施加强骑手安全战略相关的实际挑战,并提出了对外卖平台和政策制定者有用的潜在解决方案。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Estimating the value of safety against road crashes: A stated preference experiment on route choice of food delivery riders
The rapid growth of the online food delivery industry has led to a significant increase in the number of delivery riders navigating urban streets, predominantly using bikes and e-bikes. This growth has been accompanied by a concerning rise in crashes involving these riders, posing a critical challenge for city authorities and policymakers. Promoting safer riding behavior, such as choosing safer routes while delivering food, can potentially reduce crash risks. With this motivation, this paper aims to evaluate the effectiveness of strategies that encourage riders to choose safer routes and estimate the value riders place on reducing the risk of road crashes. The paper presents a stated preference experiment conducted with food delivery riders in Amsterdam and Copenhagen to assess two targeted strategies: ’safety information’ and ’monetary incentives’, designed to encourage riders toward selecting safer routes. The results from the route choice model show that presenting information about safety against crashes on different routes and offering monetary incentives can effectively motivate riders to choose safer routes, even if these are longer. The trade-offs riders make between safer and shorter routes were quantified by calculating the Value of Risk Reduction (VRR) and Willingness to Accept (WTA) indicators, which offer valuable insights into riders’ safety preferences. These indicators highlight how much riders value risk reduction and the compensation required to choose safer routes. Furthermore, the findings reveal that factors related to riders’ working arrangements and socio-demographic profiles significantly influence their route choice decisions. The paper concludes with a discussion about the practical challenges associated with implementing the strategies to enhance rider safety and proposing potential solutions that can be useful for food delivery platforms and policymakers.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
15.80
自引率
12.00%
发文量
332
审稿时长
64 days
期刊介绍: Transportation Research: Part C (TR_C) is dedicated to showcasing high-quality, scholarly research that delves into the development, applications, and implications of transportation systems and emerging technologies. Our focus lies not solely on individual technologies, but rather on their broader implications for the planning, design, operation, control, maintenance, and rehabilitation of transportation systems, services, and components. In essence, the intellectual core of the journal revolves around the transportation aspect rather than the technology itself. We actively encourage the integration of quantitative methods from diverse fields such as operations research, control systems, complex networks, computer science, and artificial intelligence. Join us in exploring the intersection of transportation systems and emerging technologies to drive innovation and progress in the field.
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