{"title":"具有异质代理和交换机制的多市场模型。","authors":"Serena Brianzoni, Giovanni Campisi","doi":"10.1063/5.0274253","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>This paper presents a multi-market model consisting of two distinct financial markets with one risky asset. The model assumes that each market is populated by two types of interacting traders: fundamentalists and cross-sectional momentum traders. A market maker sets the price based on a nonlinear adjustment mechanism. We prove that, depending on the relative influence of traders' beliefs, the asset dynamics can exhibit large-amplitude fluctuations. Through bifurcation analysis, we derive analytical conditions that show how the intensity of investors' preferences for trading rules and the switching mechanism can destabilize the markets. Furthermore, we show that when investors hold polarized beliefs, it can introduce significant uncertainty in both markets, leading to complex price dynamics.</p>","PeriodicalId":9974,"journal":{"name":"Chaos","volume":"35 8","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.2000,"publicationDate":"2025-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"A multi-market model with heterogeneous agents and switching mechanism.\",\"authors\":\"Serena Brianzoni, Giovanni Campisi\",\"doi\":\"10.1063/5.0274253\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><p>This paper presents a multi-market model consisting of two distinct financial markets with one risky asset. The model assumes that each market is populated by two types of interacting traders: fundamentalists and cross-sectional momentum traders. A market maker sets the price based on a nonlinear adjustment mechanism. We prove that, depending on the relative influence of traders' beliefs, the asset dynamics can exhibit large-amplitude fluctuations. Through bifurcation analysis, we derive analytical conditions that show how the intensity of investors' preferences for trading rules and the switching mechanism can destabilize the markets. Furthermore, we show that when investors hold polarized beliefs, it can introduce significant uncertainty in both markets, leading to complex price dynamics.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":9974,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Chaos\",\"volume\":\"35 8\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":3.2000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-08-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Chaos\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"100\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0274253\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"数学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"MATHEMATICS, APPLIED\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Chaos","FirstCategoryId":"100","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0274253","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"MATHEMATICS, APPLIED","Score":null,"Total":0}
A multi-market model with heterogeneous agents and switching mechanism.
This paper presents a multi-market model consisting of two distinct financial markets with one risky asset. The model assumes that each market is populated by two types of interacting traders: fundamentalists and cross-sectional momentum traders. A market maker sets the price based on a nonlinear adjustment mechanism. We prove that, depending on the relative influence of traders' beliefs, the asset dynamics can exhibit large-amplitude fluctuations. Through bifurcation analysis, we derive analytical conditions that show how the intensity of investors' preferences for trading rules and the switching mechanism can destabilize the markets. Furthermore, we show that when investors hold polarized beliefs, it can introduce significant uncertainty in both markets, leading to complex price dynamics.
期刊介绍:
Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science is a peer-reviewed journal devoted to increasing the understanding of nonlinear phenomena and describing the manifestations in a manner comprehensible to researchers from a broad spectrum of disciplines.