电价不确定性下的最优自调度与市场参与

IF 7.2 2区 管理学 Q1 MANAGEMENT
Mengling Zhang , Lun Ran , Jianzhi Leng
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引用次数: 0

摘要

随着电力市场复杂性和电价波动性的增加,自调度和市场参与问题已成为电力企业面临的重大挑战。与以往研究单一市场优化问题不同,本文提出了价格不确定条件下远期市场与现货市场相结合的自调度和市场参与问题。在我们的方法中,远期市场决定了未来一段时间的单位承诺和电力交易决策,而现货市场决定了发电计划和实时电力交易。目标是从两个市场中获得最大利润,同时使用平均条件风险价值(mean- cvar)管理与价格不确定性相关的风险。这种风险度量方法捕捉了所有现货价格分布中潜在的利润损失,在利润最大化和风险规避之间实现了平衡。为了解决电价的不确定性,我们引入了两个分布式鲁棒优化(DRO)模型。第一种是M-DRO,它利用均值、支持度和均值绝对偏差来定义歧义集,确保了易于处理和高效的优化。第二个是W-DRO,它利用1-Wasserstein距离来捕捉更复杂和数据驱动的不确定性。提出了一种基于分解的算法来求解重新表述的极大极小问题。大量的数值实验比较了所提出的DRO模型与传统随机规划方法的性能,为参与多市场的电力生产商提供了关键的管理见解。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Optimal self-scheduling and market involvement with electricity price uncertainty
With increasing electricity market complexity and electricity price volatility, self-scheduling and market involvement problem has become a significant challenge for power producers. Instead of previous studies focusing solely on single-market optimization problem, we propose a self-scheduling and market involvement problem that integrates both the forward market and the spot market under price uncertainty. In our approach, the forward market determines unit commitment and electricity transaction decisions for future periods, while the spot market dictates generation scheduling and real-time electricity transaction. The objective is to maximize profit from both markets, while managing the risks associated with price uncertainty using the mean conditional value-at-risk (mean-CVaR). This risk measure captures the potential losses in profit over all spot price distributions, enabling a balance between profit maximization and risk aversion. To address electricity price uncertainty, we introduce two distributionally robust optimization (DRO) models. The first, M-DRO, utilizes the mean, support, and mean absolute deviation to define the ambiguity set, ensuring tractable and efficient optimization. The second, W-DRO, employs the 1-Wasserstein distance to capture more complex and data-driven uncertainties. A decomposition-based algorithm is proposed to solve the reformulated max–min problems. Extensive numerical experiments compare the performance of the proposed DRO models against traditional stochastic programming methods, providing key managerial insights for power producers in multi-market involvement.
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来源期刊
Omega-international Journal of Management Science
Omega-international Journal of Management Science 管理科学-运筹学与管理科学
CiteScore
13.80
自引率
11.60%
发文量
130
审稿时长
56 days
期刊介绍: Omega reports on developments in management, including the latest research results and applications. Original contributions and review articles describe the state of the art in specific fields or functions of management, while there are shorter critical assessments of particular management techniques. Other features of the journal are the "Memoranda" section for short communications and "Feedback", a correspondence column. Omega is both stimulating reading and an important source for practising managers, specialists in management services, operational research workers and management scientists, management consultants, academics, students and research personnel throughout the world. The material published is of high quality and relevance, written in a manner which makes it accessible to all of this wide-ranging readership. Preference will be given to papers with implications to the practice of management. Submissions of purely theoretical papers are discouraged. The review of material for publication in the journal reflects this aim.
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