农业全要素生产率的测量是否需要付出“代价”?距离函数法的局限性

IF 2.1 3区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY
Xinpeng Xu, Yu Sheng, Eldon Ball
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引用次数: 0

摘要

农业全要素生产率(TFP)的跨国比较因方法不同而存在显著差异:最高级指数(如Törnqvist)利用价格和数量数据,而仅依赖数量的指数(如Malmquist)仅依赖数量,得出的估计结果不一致。我们从理论上证明,这种差异源于仅量方法的隐性影子价格的测量误差,它与最高级方法所采用的市场价格存在很大偏差,从而引入了噪声和偏差。利用美国、加拿大和澳大利亚(1961-2006)的一个新的、跨国一致的农业生产数据集,我们从经验上证实,最高指数在跨尺度的准确性和聚合稳定性方面始终优于其数量对应。这种优势源于价格数据能够反映经济现实(例如投入成本变动),强调了在国际生产力评估中极为需要全面的价格资料。我们的研究结果为农业经济学家和政策制定者优先考虑健全的全要素生产率指标提供了可操作的指导。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Is There a ‘Price’ to Pay for Agricultural TFP Measurement? Limitations of the Distance Function Approach

Cross-country comparisons of agricultural total factor productivity (TFP) diverge markedly depending on method: superlative indices (e.g., Törnqvist) leverage price and quantity data, while quantity-only indices (e.g., Malmquist) rely solely on quantities, yielding inconsistent estimates. We theoretically demonstrate that this disparity stems from measurement errors in the quantity-only approach's implicit shadow prices, which deviate substantially from market prices employed by superlative methods, introducing noise and bias. Utilising a novel, cross-country consistent dataset of agricultural production accounts for the United States, Canada and Australia (1961–2006), we empirically affirm that the superlative index consistently outperforms its quantity-only counterpart in accuracy and aggregation stability across scales. This superiority, rooted in price data's capacity to reflect economic realities (e.g., input cost shifts), underscores the critical need for comprehensive price information in international productivity assessments. Our findings offer actionable guidance for agricultural economists and policymakers prioritising robust TFP metrics.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
6.30
自引率
0.00%
发文量
36
审稿时长
>24 weeks
期刊介绍: The Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics (AJARE) provides a forum for innovative and scholarly work in agricultural and resource economics. First published in 1997, the Journal succeeds the Australian Journal of Agricultural Economics and the Review of Marketing and Agricultural Economics, upholding the tradition of these long-established journals. Accordingly, the editors are guided by the following objectives: -To maintain a high standard of analytical rigour offering sufficient variety of content so as to appeal to a broad spectrum of both academic and professional economists and policymakers. -In maintaining the tradition of its predecessor journals, to combine articles with policy reviews and surveys of key analytical issues in agricultural and resource economics.
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