{"title":"经验似然法确定AUC和pac的置信区间。","authors":"Yumin Zhao, Xue Ding, Mai Zhou","doi":"10.1002/sim.70192","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and Partial AUC (pAUC) are often used to measure the performance of medical diagnostic tests. Under nonparametric settings, we propose and illustrate in this paper a two-sample empirical likelihood approach to test hypotheses and construct confidence intervals for AUC and pAUC. The empirical likelihood ratio test in our setup yields an asymptotic chi-square distribution under null hypothesis. Thus, there is no need to estimate the complicated scale factor or the variance of the nonparametric AUC/pAUC estimators like most other competing methods do. Simulations show our method is very competitive. In fact, our method tops competitors in every situation we simulated. Real data examples (with R code) are presented illustrating the statistical tests and confidence intervals for AUC and pAUC.</p>","PeriodicalId":21879,"journal":{"name":"Statistics in Medicine","volume":"44 15-17","pages":"e70192"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8000,"publicationDate":"2025-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Confidence Intervals for AUC and pAUC by Empirical Likelihood.\",\"authors\":\"Yumin Zhao, Xue Ding, Mai Zhou\",\"doi\":\"10.1002/sim.70192\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><p>The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and Partial AUC (pAUC) are often used to measure the performance of medical diagnostic tests. Under nonparametric settings, we propose and illustrate in this paper a two-sample empirical likelihood approach to test hypotheses and construct confidence intervals for AUC and pAUC. The empirical likelihood ratio test in our setup yields an asymptotic chi-square distribution under null hypothesis. Thus, there is no need to estimate the complicated scale factor or the variance of the nonparametric AUC/pAUC estimators like most other competing methods do. Simulations show our method is very competitive. In fact, our method tops competitors in every situation we simulated. Real data examples (with R code) are presented illustrating the statistical tests and confidence intervals for AUC and pAUC.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":21879,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Statistics in Medicine\",\"volume\":\"44 15-17\",\"pages\":\"e70192\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.8000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-07-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Statistics in Medicine\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"3\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1002/sim.70192\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"医学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"MATHEMATICAL & COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Statistics in Medicine","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1002/sim.70192","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"MATHEMATICAL & COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
Confidence Intervals for AUC and pAUC by Empirical Likelihood.
The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and Partial AUC (pAUC) are often used to measure the performance of medical diagnostic tests. Under nonparametric settings, we propose and illustrate in this paper a two-sample empirical likelihood approach to test hypotheses and construct confidence intervals for AUC and pAUC. The empirical likelihood ratio test in our setup yields an asymptotic chi-square distribution under null hypothesis. Thus, there is no need to estimate the complicated scale factor or the variance of the nonparametric AUC/pAUC estimators like most other competing methods do. Simulations show our method is very competitive. In fact, our method tops competitors in every situation we simulated. Real data examples (with R code) are presented illustrating the statistical tests and confidence intervals for AUC and pAUC.
期刊介绍:
The journal aims to influence practice in medicine and its associated sciences through the publication of papers on statistical and other quantitative methods. Papers will explain new methods and demonstrate their application, preferably through a substantive, real, motivating example or a comprehensive evaluation based on an illustrative example. Alternatively, papers will report on case-studies where creative use or technical generalizations of established methodology is directed towards a substantive application. Reviews of, and tutorials on, general topics relevant to the application of statistics to medicine will also be published. The main criteria for publication are appropriateness of the statistical methods to a particular medical problem and clarity of exposition. Papers with primarily mathematical content will be excluded. The journal aims to enhance communication between statisticians, clinicians and medical researchers.