电能预测的统计和机器学习方法

Solange Machado, Xingquan Zhu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

随着可再生能源被积极地整合到电网中,能源供应变得越来越容易受到天气和环境的影响,如果不能准确地预测能源规划,往往无法满足大规模的人口需求。提前了解消费者的电力需求以及天气对消费和发电的影响,可以帮助生产商制定有效的电力管理计划,以支持目标需求。消费者行为除了与环境高度相关外,还会导致能源数据的非平稳特征,这是能源预测的主要挑战。在本调查中,我们对能源领域预测方法的文献进行了回顾。到目前为止,大多数可用的研究都只涉及一种类型的发电或消费。目前还没有针对能源行业整体预测及其相关特征的研究。我们建议从消费和发电两方面解决能源预测的挑战,包括从统计到机器学习技术的技术。我们还总结了与能源预测、电力测量、能源消耗和发电相关的挑战、能源预测方法和现实世界的能源预测资源(如能源预测的数据集和软件解决方案)相关的工作。本文分类如下:应用领域>;行业特定应用技术;预测技术;机器学习
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Statistical and Machine Learning Approaches for Electrical Energy Forecasting
With renewable energy being aggressively integrated into the grid, energy supplies are becoming vulnerable to weather and the environment, and are often incapable of meeting population demands at a large scale if not accurately predicted for energy planning. Understanding consumers' power demands ahead of time and the influences of weather on consumption and generation can help producers generate effective power management plans to support the target demand. In addition to the high correlation with the environment, consumers' behaviors also cause non‐stationary characteristics of energy data, which is the main challenge for energy prediction. In this survey, we perform a review of the literature on prediction methods in the energy field. So far, most of the available research encompasses one type of generation or consumption. There is no research approaching prediction in the energy sector as a whole and its correlated features. We propose to address the energy prediction challenges from both consumption and generation sides, encompassing techniques from statistical to machine learning techniques. We also summarize the work related to energy prediction, electricity measurements, challenges related to energy consumption and generation, energy forecasting methods, and real‐world energy forecasting resources, such as datasets and software solutions for energy prediction.This article is categorized under: Application Areas > Industry Specific Applications Technologies > Prediction Technologies > Machine Learning
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